NL East
Standings
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB | RD | L10 | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atlanta Braves | 48 | 31 | .608 | - | +92 | 3-7 | L4 |
| 2 | Philadelphia Phillies | 44 | 36 | .550 | 4.5 | -1 | 6-4 | W2 |
| 3 | Miami Marlins | 42 | 39 | .519 | 7.0 | +3 | 7-3 | W2 |
| 4 | Washington Nationals | 41 | 40 | .506 | 8.0 | +9 | 5-5 | L2 |
| 5 | New York Mets | 34 | 46 | .425 | 14.5 | -46 | 3-7 | L5 |
| # | Team | W* | L* | ±W | Δ Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atlanta Braves | 48 | 31 | 0 | — |
| 2 | Philadelphia Phillies | 44 | 36 | 0 | — |
| 3 | Miami Marlins | 42 | 39 | 0 | — |
| 4 | Washington Nationals | 41 | 40 | 0 | — |
| 5 | New York Mets | 34 | 46 | 0 | — |
Optimal projects each team's remaining games as if every lineup was optimizer-recommended (snapshot, not full season replay). See methodology below.
Manager decisions across the division
All managers →| Team | Manager | Lineup | Bunts | IBBs | Relievers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mets | Carlos Mendoza 78 GP | 3.74 R · 0.05 R/G | 1.75 R · 0.02 R/G | 1.50 R · 0.02 R/G | 8.83 R · 0.11 R/G |
| Braves | Walt Weiss 77 GP | 2.34 R · 0.03 R/G | 0.00 R · 0.00 R/G | 0.50 R · 0.01 R/G | 13.85 R · 0.18 R/G |
| Nationals | Blake Butera 81 GP | 2.63 R · 0.03 R/G | 2.28 R · 0.03 R/G | 1.85 R · 0.02 R/G | 14.05 R · 0.17 R/G |
| Marlins | Clayton McCullough 81 GP | 2.44 R · 0.03 R/G | 1.27 R · 0.02 R/G | 0.77 R · 0.01 R/G | 18.29 R · 0.23 R/G |
| Phillies | Don Mattingly INTERIM 52 GP | 1.23 R · 0.02 R/G | 0.39 R · 0.01 R/G | 0.50 R · 0.01 R/G | 13.79 R · 0.27 R/G |
| ↳ 03/26 → 04/28 | Rob Thomson FIRED 29 GP | 1.81 R · 0.06 R/G | 0.00 R · 0.00 R/G | 0.61 R · 0.02 R/G | 5.78 R · 0.20 R/G |
All costs are tenure-bounded, season to date, and shown as a season total plus a per-game rate (R/G). Lower is better. The categories aren't summed into a total — lineup, bunts and IBBs cover every game while reliever selection covers high-leverage spots only (7th inning+, 1–3 run game), so a single composite would mix scopes. The Relievers leaderboard shows a rolling 30-day window. Fired-manager teams get a sub-row showing the predecessor's own tenure separately.
Run differential
Recent form
RunsLeft insights · NL East
Atlanta Braves on pace for +189 run differential
Through 79 games the Atlanta Braves have outscored opponents by 92 (385-293) — projects to +189 over a full season. Tops the NL East.
Team page →MIA bullpen last 7 games: Pete Fairbanks led usage; John King had better ERA
Miami Marlins bullpen usage, last 7 games — Pete Fairbanks 4 apps/59p (ERA 6.75), Michael Petersen 4 apps/59p (ERA 3.18), Anthony Bender 4 apps/49p (ERA 2.73). Most-used arm: Pete Fairbanks (4 apps, ERA 6.75). Lowest ERA among less-used ar…
Team page →Weiss has used 27 different lineups in 28 games
Walt Weiss (ATL) has run 27 distinct starting lineups across 28 games this season — that's 96% turnover game-to-game. Most managers stay below 13 for the same span.
Manager detail →Nacho Alvarez Jr's OPS swings .342 between lineup spots
Nacho Alvarez Jr (ATL) has hit in 4 different lineup spots over 61 games this season. OPS by spot: 2nd .200 (2 g), 7th .369 (15 g), 8th .542 (26 g), 9th .539 (18 g).
See on team page →Otto Kemp's OPS swings 1.000 between lineup spots
Otto Kemp (PHI) has hit in 7 different lineup spots over 63 games this season. OPS by spot: 1st .000 (1 g), 3rd 1.000 (1 g), 5th .567 (6 g), 6th .906 (15 g), 7th .293 (16 g), 8th .600 (15 g), 9th .714 (9 g).
See on team page →Justin Crawford's OPS swings 1.000 between lineup spots
Justin Crawford (PHI) has hit in 6 different lineup spots over 66 games this season. OPS by spot: 1st .250 (2 g), 5th .000 (4 g), 6th 1.000 (2 g), 7th .500 (2 g), 8th .589 (20 g), 9th .597 (36 g).
See on team page →Keep reading
Methodology
Counterfactual standings project each team's remaining
games as if every lineup card had been the optimizer's recommendation.
The math is a snapshot: winsFlip = round(seasonLineupCost / 10),
added to the current win column and subtracted from the loss column.
Manager decision costs come from the same per-game decision audit used on /managers. Insights are emitted by templates under /methodology and refreshed hourly or nightly depending on the template tier.