NL East
Standings
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB | RD | L10 | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atlanta Braves | 28 | 13 | .683 | - | +87 | 6-4 | W2 |
| 2 | Philadelphia Phillies | 19 | 22 | .463 | 9.0 | -32 | 7-3 | W2 |
| 3 | Miami Marlins | 19 | 22 | .463 | 9.0 | -3 | 4-6 | W2 |
| 4 | Washington Nationals | 19 | 22 | .463 | 9.0 | -13 | 5-5 | L2 |
| 5 | New York Mets | 15 | 25 | .375 | 12.5 | -31 | 5-5 | L2 |
| # | Team | W* | L* | ±W | Δ Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atlanta Braves | 28 | 13 | 0 | — |
| 2 | Philadelphia Phillies | 19 | 22 | 0 | — |
| 3 | Miami Marlins | 19 | 22 | 0 | — |
| 4 | Washington Nationals | 19 | 22 | 0 | — |
| 5 | New York Mets | 15 | 25 | 0 | — |
Optimal projects each team's remaining games as if every lineup was optimizer-recommended (snapshot, not full season replay). See methodology below.
Manager grades across the division
All managers →| Team | Manager | Lineup | Bunts | IBBs | Pitching | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nationals | — | 1.62 R B- | 1.51 R C | 1.39 R B | 66.94 R F | 71.46 R C |
| Braves | — | 1.75 R C+ | 0.00 R A | 0.22 R A | 72.91 R F | 74.88 R C |
| Mets | — | 3.12 R F | 1.37 R B | 0.93 R B | 89.24 R F | 94.65 R D- |
| Phillies | — | 2.34 R C- | 0.39 R A | 0.72 R B | 96.31 R F | 99.76 R C- |
| Marlins | — | 1.57 R B- | 0.39 R A | 0.60 R B | 111.94 R F | 114.49 R C+ |
Cost = expected runs lost from sub-optimal decisions across the season. Lower is better. Grades follow the same scale used on individual manager pages.
Run differential
Recent form
RunsLeft insights · NL East
Atlanta Braves on pace for +344 run differential
Through 41 games the Atlanta Braves have outscored opponents by 87 (228-141) — projects to +344 over a full season. Tops the NL East.
Team page →Atlanta Braves are the only NL East team with positive run differential
Atlanta Braves sit at +87 run differential — the only NL East club above water. Division mates average -19.8.
Team page →Mendoza now at 5.4R lost to lineup decisions
Carlos Mendoza (NYM) has cost 5.4 runs across lineup, bunt, and IBB decisions this season — past the 5R watermark. Lineup decisions account for 3.1R, the largest single category.
Manager detail →MIA bullpen last 7 games: Andrew Nardi led usage; John King had better ERA
Miami Marlins bullpen usage, last 7 games — Andrew Nardi 4 apps/59p (ERA 5.74), Calvin Faucher 3 apps/53p (ERA 3.38), Michael Petersen 3 apps/43p (ERA 4.80). Most-used arm: Andrew Nardi (4 apps, ERA 5.74). Lowest ERA among less-used arms:…
Team page →Weiss has used 28 different lineups in 30 games
Walt Weiss (ATL) has run 28 distinct starting lineups across 30 games this season — that's 93% turnover game-to-game. Most managers stay below 14 for the same span.
Manager detail →Mendoza has used 27 different lineups in 30 games
Carlos Mendoza (NYM) has run 27 distinct starting lineups across 30 games this season — that's 90% turnover game-to-game. Most managers stay below 14 for the same span.
Manager detail →Keep reading
Methodology
Counterfactual standings project each team's remaining
games as if every lineup card had been the optimizer's recommendation.
The math is a snapshot: winsFlip = round(seasonLineupCost / 10),
added to the current win column and subtracted from the loss column.
Manager grades come from the same per-game decision audit used on /managers. Insights are emitted by templates under /methodology and refreshed hourly or nightly depending on the template tier.