NL East
Standings
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB | RD | L10 | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atlanta Braves | 70 | 47 | .598 | - | +119 | 8-2 | L2 |
| 2 | Philadelphia Phillies | 62 | 56 | .525 | 8.5 | -1 | 5-5 | L2 |
| 3 | Miami Marlins | 59 | 59 | .500 | 11.5 | +6 | 5-5 | W1 |
| 4 | Washington Nationals | 58 | 61 | .487 | 13.0 | +18 | 3-7 | W2 |
| 5 | New York Mets | 51 | 67 | .432 | 19.5 | -53 | 5-5 | L1 |
| # | Team | W* | L* | ±W | Δ Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atlanta Braves | 70 | 47 | 0 | — |
| 2 | Philadelphia Phillies | 62 | 56 | 0 | — |
| 3 | Miami Marlins | 59 | 59 | 0 | — |
| 4 | Washington Nationals | 58 | 61 | 0 | — |
| 5 | New York Mets | 51 | 67 | 0 | — |
Optimal projects each team's remaining games as if every lineup was optimizer-recommended (snapshot, not full season replay). See methodology below.
Manager decisions across the division
All managers →| Team | Manager | Lineup | Bunts | IBBs | Relievers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braves | Walt Weiss 113 GP | 3.33 R · 0.03 R/G | 0.72 R · 0.01 R/G | 2.49 R · 0.02 R/G | 19.49 R · 0.17 R/G |
| Phillies | Don Mattingly INTERIM 89 GP | 2.08 R · 0.02 R/G | 1.08 R · 0.01 R/G | 1.14 R · 0.01 R/G | 17.94 R · 0.20 R/G |
| ↳ 03/26 → 04/28 | Rob Thomson FIRED 29 GP | 1.81 R · 0.06 R/G | 0.00 R · 0.00 R/G | 0.61 R · 0.02 R/G | 5.78 R · 0.20 R/G |
| Marlins | Clayton McCullough 118 GP | 3.32 R · 0.03 R/G | 2.54 R · 0.02 R/G | 0.88 R · 0.01 R/G | 22.45 R · 0.19 R/G |
| Mets | Carlos Mendoza 115 GP | 4.33 R · 0.04 R/G | 2.50 R · 0.02 R/G | 1.62 R · 0.01 R/G | 21.82 R · 0.19 R/G |
| Nationals | Blake Butera 117 GP | 3.32 R · 0.03 R/G | 2.48 R · 0.02 R/G | 1.85 R · 0.02 R/G | 26.07 R · 0.22 R/G |
All costs are tenure-bounded, season to date, and shown as a season total plus a per-game rate (R/G). Lower is better. The categories aren't summed into a total — lineup, bunts and IBBs cover every game while reliever selection covers high-leverage spots only (7th inning+, 1–3 run game), so a single composite would mix scopes. The Relievers leaderboard shows a rolling 30-day window. Fired-manager teams get a sub-row showing the predecessor's own tenure separately.
Run differential
Recent form
RunsLeft insights · NL East
Atlanta Braves on pace for +165 run differential
Through 117 games the Atlanta Braves have outscored opponents by 119 (574-455) — projects to +165 over a full season. Tops the NL East.
Team page →Green now at 8.5R lost to lineup decisions
Andy Green (NYM) has cost 8.5 runs across lineup, bunt, and IBB decisions this season — past the 5R watermark. Lineup decisions account for 4.3R, the largest single category.
Manager detail →Weiss now at 6.5R lost to lineup decisions
Walt Weiss (ATL) has cost 6.5 runs across lineup, bunt, and IBB decisions this season — past the 5R watermark. Lineup decisions account for 3.3R, the largest single category.
Manager detail →PHI bullpen last 7 games: Orion Kerkering led usage; Jhoan Duran had better ERA
Philadelphia Phillies bullpen usage, last 7 games — Orion Kerkering 5 apps/63p (ERA 3.38), Jhoan Duran 4 apps/60p (ERA 1.79), Chase Shugart 3 apps/76p (ERA 4.93). Most-used arm: Orion Kerkering (5 apps, ERA 3.38). Lowest ERA among less-use…
Team page →Weiss has used 27 different lineups in 30 games
Walt Weiss (ATL) has run 27 distinct starting lineups across 30 games this season — that's 90% turnover game-to-game. Most managers stay below 14 for the same span.
Manager detail →Nacho Alvarez Jr's OPS swings .342 between lineup spots
Nacho Alvarez Jr (ATL) has hit in 4 different lineup spots over 61 games this season. OPS by spot: 2nd .200 (2 g), 7th .369 (15 g), 8th .542 (26 g), 9th .539 (18 g).
See on team page →Keep reading
Methodology
Counterfactual standings project each team's remaining
games as if every lineup card had been the optimizer's recommendation.
The math is a snapshot: winsFlip = round(seasonLineupCost / 10),
added to the current win column and subtracted from the loss column.
Manager decision costs come from the same per-game decision audit used on /managers. Insights are emitted by templates under /methodology and refreshed hourly or nightly depending on the template tier.