NL East
Standings
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB | RD | L10 | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atlanta Braves | 92 | 65 | .586 | - | +116 | 6-4 | L1 |
| 2 | Philadelphia Phillies | 87 | 70 | .554 | 5.0 | +31 | 5-5 | W2 |
| 3 | Miami Marlins | 77 | 80 | .490 | 15.0 | +3 | 5-5 | W1 |
| 4 | Washington Nationals | 74 | 84 | .468 | 18.5 | +7 | 7-3 | W1 |
| 5 | New York Mets | 72 | 85 | .459 | 20.0 | -38 | 4-6 | W1 |
| # | Team | W* | L* | ±W | Δ Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atlanta Braves | 92 | 65 | 0 | — |
| 2 | Philadelphia Phillies | 87 | 70 | 0 | — |
| 3 | Miami Marlins | 77 | 80 | 0 | — |
| 4 | Washington Nationals | 74 | 84 | 0 | — |
| 5 | New York Mets | 73 | 84 | +1 | — |
Optimal projects each team's remaining games as if every lineup was optimizer-recommended (snapshot, not full season replay). See methodology below.
Manager decisions across the division
All managers →| Team | Manager | Lineup | Bunts | IBBs | Relievers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braves | Walt Weiss 151 GP | 4.28 R · 0.03 R/G | 1.25 R · 0.01 R/G | 3.09 R · 0.02 R/G | 28.74 R · 0.19 R/G |
| Marlins | Clayton McCullough 152 GP | 4.02 R · 0.03 R/G | 4.00 R · 0.03 R/G | 1.98 R · 0.01 R/G | 28.86 R · 0.19 R/G |
| Phillies | Don Mattingly INTERIM 122 GP | 2.86 R · 0.02 R/G | 2.42 R · 0.02 R/G | 1.25 R · 0.01 R/G | 30.05 R · 0.25 R/G |
| ↳ 03/26 → 04/28 | Rob Thomson FIRED 29 GP | 1.81 R · 0.06 R/G | 0.00 R · 0.00 R/G | 0.61 R · 0.02 R/G | 5.78 R · 0.20 R/G |
| Nationals | Blake Butera 152 GP | 3.96 R · 0.03 R/G | 2.56 R · 0.02 R/G | 2.43 R · 0.02 R/G | 36.46 R · 0.24 R/G |
| Mets | Carlos Mendoza 154 GP | 5.27 R · 0.03 R/G | 2.69 R · 0.02 R/G | 1.62 R · 0.01 R/G | 49.26 R · 0.32 R/G |
All costs are tenure-bounded, season to date, and shown as a season total plus a per-game rate (R/G). Lower is better. The categories aren't summed into a total — lineup, bunts and IBBs cover every game while reliever selection covers high-leverage spots only (7th inning+, 1–3 run game), so a single composite would mix scopes. The Relievers leaderboard shows a rolling 30-day window. Fired-manager teams get a sub-row showing the predecessor's own tenure separately.
Run differential
Recent form
RunsLeft insights · NL East
Atlanta Braves on pace for +120 run differential
Through 157 games the Atlanta Braves have outscored opponents by 116 (722-606) — projects to +120 over a full season. Tops the NL East.
Team page →New York Mets are the only NL East team underwater on run differential
New York Mets sit at -38 run differential — the only NL East club below water. Division mates average +39.3.
Team page →Green now at 9.6R lost to lineup decisions
Andy Green (NYM) has cost 9.6 runs across lineup, bunt, and IBB decisions this season — past the 5R watermark. Lineup decisions account for 5.3R, the largest single category.
Manager detail →Weiss now at 8.6R lost to lineup decisions
Walt Weiss (ATL) has cost 8.6 runs across lineup, bunt, and IBB decisions this season — past the 5R watermark. Lineup decisions account for 4.3R, the largest single category.
Manager detail →PHI bullpen last 7 games: José Alvarado led usage; Jhoan Duran had better ERA
Philadelphia Phillies bullpen usage, last 7 games — José Alvarado 4 apps/50p (ERA 4.99), Jhoan Duran 3 apps/59p (ERA 1.88), Tim Mayza 3 apps/36p (ERA 3.44). Most-used arm: José Alvarado (4 apps, ERA 4.99). Lowest ERA among less-used arms:…
Team page →Nacho Alvarez Jr's OPS swings .342 between lineup spots
Nacho Alvarez Jr (ATL) has hit in 4 different lineup spots over 61 games this season. OPS by spot: 2nd .200 (2 g), 7th .369 (15 g), 8th .542 (26 g), 9th .539 (18 g).
See on team page →Keep reading
Methodology
Counterfactual standings project each team's remaining
games as if every lineup card had been the optimizer's recommendation.
The math is a snapshot: winsFlip = round(seasonLineupCost / 10),
added to the current win column and subtracted from the loss column.
Manager decision costs come from the same per-game decision audit used on /managers. Insights are emitted by templates under /methodology and refreshed hourly or nightly depending on the template tier.