AL East
Standings
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB | RD | L10 | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay Rays | 70 | 46 | .603 | - | +43 | 8-2 | W5 |
| 2 | New York Yankees | 66 | 51 | .564 | 4.5 | +83 | 5-5 | W2 |
| 3 | Boston Red Sox | 64 | 52 | .552 | 6.0 | +85 | 9-1 | L1 |
| 4 | Baltimore Orioles | 56 | 61 | .479 | 14.5 | -38 | 4-6 | L3 |
| 5 | Toronto Blue Jays | 56 | 62 | .475 | 15.0 | -58 | 7-3 | W2 |
| # | Team | W* | L* | ±W | Δ Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay Rays | 70 | 46 | 0 | — |
| 2 | New York Yankees | 66 | 51 | 0 | — |
| 3 | Boston Red Sox | 64 | 52 | 0 | — |
| 4 | Baltimore Orioles | 56 | 61 | 0 | — |
| 5 | Toronto Blue Jays | 56 | 62 | 0 | — |
Optimal projects each team's remaining games as if every lineup was optimizer-recommended (snapshot, not full season replay). See methodology below.
Manager decisions across the division
All managers →| Team | Manager | Lineup | Bunts | IBBs | Relievers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Red Sox | Chad Tracy INTERIM 80 GP | 1.80 R · 0.02 R/G | 2.33 R · 0.03 R/G | 0.86 R · 0.01 R/G | 11.02 R · 0.14 R/G |
| ↳ 03/26 → 04/27 | Alex Cora FIRED 29 GP | 2.13 R · 0.07 R/G | 0.15 R · 0.01 R/G | 0.24 R · 0.01 R/G | 4.16 R · 0.14 R/G |
| Yankees | Aaron Boone 113 GP | 2.86 R · 0.03 R/G | 0.28 R · 0.00 R/G | 2.62 R · 0.02 R/G | 23.90 R · 0.21 R/G |
| Rays | Kevin Cash 109 GP | 2.23 R · 0.02 R/G | 3.86 R · 0.04 R/G | 3.55 R · 0.03 R/G | 21.11 R · 0.19 R/G |
| Orioles | Craig Albernaz 112 GP | 2.37 R · 0.02 R/G | 1.11 R · 0.01 R/G | 2.83 R · 0.03 R/G | 26.15 R · 0.23 R/G |
| Blue Jays | John Schneider 115 GP | 1.67 R · 0.01 R/G | 3.61 R · 0.03 R/G | 4.01 R · 0.03 R/G | 26.63 R · 0.23 R/G |
All costs are tenure-bounded, season to date, and shown as a season total plus a per-game rate (R/G). Lower is better. The categories aren't summed into a total — lineup, bunts and IBBs cover every game while reliever selection covers high-leverage spots only (7th inning+, 1–3 run game), so a single composite would mix scopes. The Relievers leaderboard shows a rolling 30-day window. Fired-manager teams get a sub-row showing the predecessor's own tenure separately.
Run differential
Recent form
RunsLeft insights · AL East
Boston Red Sox on pace for +119 run differential
Through 116 games the Boston Red Sox have outscored opponents by 85 (520-435) — projects to +119 over a full season. Tops the AL East.
Team page →Boone now at 5.8R lost to lineup decisions
Aaron Boone (NYY) has cost 5.8 runs across lineup, bunt, and IBB decisions this season — past the 5R watermark. Lineup decisions account for 2.9R, the largest single category.
Manager detail →Albernaz now at 6.3R lost to lineup decisions
Craig Albernaz (BAL) has cost 6.3 runs across lineup, bunt, and IBB decisions this season — past the 5R watermark. Lineup decisions account for 2.4R, the largest single category.
Manager detail →NYY bullpen last 7 games: David Bednar led usage; Yerry De los Santos had better ERA
New York Yankees bullpen usage, last 7 games — David Bednar 4 apps/81p (ERA 2.61), Brent Headrick 4 apps/76p (ERA 1.52), Paul Blackburn 3 apps/57p (ERA 2.01). Most-used arm: David Bednar (4 apps, ERA 2.61). Lowest ERA among less-used arms:…
Team page →TB bullpen last 7 games: Garrett Cleavinger led usage; Bryan Baker had better ERA
Tampa Bay Rays bullpen usage, last 7 games — Garrett Cleavinger 4 apps/49p (ERA 3.28), Kevin Kelly 4 apps/27p (ERA 2.00), Casey Legumina 3 apps/61p (ERA 4.17). Most-used arm: Garrett Cleavinger (4 apps, ERA 3.28). Lowest ERA among less-use…
Team page →Ben Williamson's OPS swings 1.014 between lineup spots
Ben Williamson (TB) has hit in 8 different lineup spots over 73 games this season. OPS by spot: 2nd 1.333 (4 g), 3rd .625 (2 g), 4th .500 (2 g), 5th .320 (6 g), 6th .487 (25 g), 7th .697 (33 g), 8th .542 (40 g), 9th .493 (29 g).
See on team page →Keep reading
Methodology
Counterfactual standings project each team's remaining
games as if every lineup card had been the optimizer's recommendation.
The math is a snapshot: winsFlip = round(seasonLineupCost / 10),
added to the current win column and subtracted from the loss column.
Manager decision costs come from the same per-game decision audit used on /managers. Insights are emitted by templates under /methodology and refreshed hourly or nightly depending on the template tier.