AL East
Standings
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB | RD | L10 | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay Rays | 98 | 64 | .605 | - | +86 | 5-5 | L1 |
| 2 | New York Yankees | 93 | 68 | .578 | 4.5 | +138 | 5-5 | W1 |
| 3 | Boston Red Sox | 87 | 75 | .537 | 11.0 | +78 | 5-5 | L1 |
| 4 | Baltimore Orioles | 79 | 82 | .491 | 18.5 | -21 | 6-4 | L1 |
| 5 | Toronto Blue Jays | 79 | 83 | .488 | 19.0 | -46 | 4-6 | W1 |
| # | Team | W* | L* | ±W | Δ Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay Rays | 98 | 64 | 0 | — |
| 2 | New York Yankees | 93 | 68 | 0 | — |
| 3 | Boston Red Sox | 88 | 74 | +1 | — |
| 4 | Baltimore Orioles | 79 | 82 | 0 | — |
| 5 | Toronto Blue Jays | 79 | 83 | 0 | — |
Optimal projects each team's remaining games as if every lineup was optimizer-recommended (snapshot, not full season replay). See methodology below.
Manager decisions across the division
All managers →| Team | Manager | Lineup | Bunts | IBBs | Relievers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Red Sox | Chad Tracy INTERIM 125 GP | 2.87 R · 0.02 R/G | 3.33 R · 0.03 R/G | 1.79 R · 0.01 R/G | 21.35 R · 0.17 R/G |
| ↳ 03/26 → 04/27 | Alex Cora FIRED 29 GP | 2.13 R · 0.07 R/G | 0.15 R · 0.01 R/G | 0.24 R · 0.01 R/G | 4.16 R · 0.14 R/G |
| Rays | Kevin Cash 152 GP | 3.03 R · 0.02 R/G | 7.45 R · 0.05 R/G | 4.29 R · 0.03 R/G | 24.51 R · 0.16 R/G |
| Yankees | Aaron Boone 150 GP | 3.60 R · 0.02 R/G | 0.45 R · 0.00 R/G | 3.34 R · 0.02 R/G | 32.26 R · 0.22 R/G |
| Orioles | Craig Albernaz 152 GP | 3.28 R · 0.02 R/G | 1.50 R · 0.01 R/G | 3.89 R · 0.03 R/G | 37.71 R · 0.25 R/G |
| Blue Jays | John Schneider 156 GP | 2.62 R · 0.02 R/G | 5.31 R · 0.03 R/G | 7.12 R · 0.05 R/G | 35.66 R · 0.23 R/G |
All costs are tenure-bounded, season to date, and shown as a season total plus a per-game rate (R/G). Lower is better. The categories aren't summed into a total — lineup, bunts and IBBs cover every game while reliever selection covers high-leverage spots only (7th inning+, 1–3 run game), so a single composite would mix scopes. The Relievers leaderboard shows a rolling 30-day window. Fired-manager teams get a sub-row showing the predecessor's own tenure separately.
Run differential
Recent form
RunsLeft insights · AL East
Boone now at 7.4R lost to lineup decisions
Aaron Boone (NYY) has cost 7.4 runs across lineup, bunt, and IBB decisions this season — past the 5R watermark. Lineup decisions account for 3.6R, the largest single category.
Manager detail →Albernaz now at 8.7R lost to lineup decisions
Craig Albernaz (BAL) has cost 8.7 runs across lineup, bunt, and IBB decisions this season — past the 5R watermark. Lineup decisions account for 3.3R, the largest single category.
Manager detail →Ben Williamson's OPS swings 1.014 between lineup spots
Ben Williamson (TB) has hit in 8 different lineup spots over 78 games this season. OPS by spot: 2nd 1.333 (4 g), 3rd .417 (3 g), 4th .500 (2 g), 5th .320 (6 g), 6th .469 (27 g), 7th .673 (35 g), 8th .542 (40 g), 9th .493 (29 g).
See on team page →Masataka Yoshida's OPS swings 1.583 between lineup spots
Masataka Yoshida (BOS) has hit in 9 different lineup spots over 177 games this season. OPS by spot: 1st .467 (6 g), 2nd .477 (10 g), 3rd .748 (23 g), 4th .661 (17 g), 5th .563 (57 g), 6th .718 (47 g), 7th .700 (10 g), 8th 1.583 (6 g), 9th…
See on team page →Sean Keys's OPS swings 3.500 between lineup spots
Sean Keys (TOR) has hit in 8 different lineup spots over 17 games this season. OPS by spot: 1st .000 (1 g), 2nd .500 (3 g), 3rd 3.500 (2 g), 4th .000 (1 g), 5th .439 (3 g), 6th .500 (2 g), 7th .333 (3 g), 8th 1.125 (2 g).
See on team page →Charles Mcadoo's OPS swings 2.000 between lineup spots
Charles Mcadoo (TOR) has hit in 9 different lineup spots over 23 games this season. OPS by spot: 1st .508 (4 g), 2nd .666 (3 g), 3rd .000 (1 g), 4th 1.667 (1 g), 5th 2.000 (1 g), 6th 1.333 (2 g), 7th .375 (2 g), 8th .250 (5 g), 9th .625 (4…
See on team page →Keep reading
Methodology
Counterfactual standings project each team's remaining
games as if every lineup card had been the optimizer's recommendation.
The math is a snapshot: winsFlip = round(seasonLineupCost / 10),
added to the current win column and subtracted from the loss column.
Manager decision costs come from the same per-game decision audit used on /managers. Insights are emitted by templates under /methodology and refreshed hourly or nightly depending on the template tier.