AL East
Standings
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB | RD | L10 | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay Rays | 26 | 13 | .667 | - | +20 | 8-2 | W1 |
| 2 | New York Yankees | 26 | 15 | .634 | 1.0 | +73 | 6-4 | L3 |
| 3 | Toronto Blue Jays | 18 | 22 | .450 | 8.5 | -12 | 4-6 | L1 |
| 4 | Baltimore Orioles | 18 | 23 | .439 | 9.0 | -41 | 3-7 | W1 |
| 5 | Boston Red Sox | 17 | 23 | .425 | 9.5 | -12 | 5-5 | L1 |
| # | Team | W* | L* | ±W | Δ Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay Rays | 26 | 13 | 0 | — |
| 2 | New York Yankees | 26 | 15 | 0 | — |
| 3 | Toronto Blue Jays | 18 | 22 | 0 | — |
| 4 | Baltimore Orioles | 18 | 23 | 0 | — |
| 5 | Boston Red Sox | 17 | 23 | 0 | — |
Optimal projects each team's remaining games as if every lineup was optimizer-recommended (snapshot, not full season replay). See methodology below.
Manager grades across the division
All managers →| Team | Manager | Lineup | Bunts | IBBs | Pitching | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rays | — | 0.91 R A- | 2.66 R C | 2.06 R C | 24.80 R D | 30.43 R B- |
| Yankees | — | 1.49 R B- | 0.00 R A | 1.05 R B | 64.82 R F | 67.36 R C+ |
| Red Sox | — | 2.78 R D+ | 0.15 R A | 0.24 R A | 84.63 R F | 87.80 R C- |
| Blue Jays | — | 0.37 R A+ | 1.52 R C | 1.29 R B | 138.83 R F | 142.01 R B |
| Orioles | — | 1.21 R B+ | 0.62 R B | 1.82 R C | 146.70 R F | 150.35 R C+ |
Cost = expected runs lost from sub-optimal decisions across the season. Lower is better. Grades follow the same scale used on individual manager pages.
Run differential
Recent form
RunsLeft insights · AL East
New York Yankees on pace for +288 run differential
Through 41 games the New York Yankees have outscored opponents by 73 (215-142) — projects to +288 over a full season. Tops the AL East.
Team page →Cash now at 5.6R lost to lineup decisions
Kevin Cash (TB) has cost 5.6 runs across lineup, bunt, and IBB decisions this season — past the 5R watermark. Lineup decisions account for 0.9R, the largest single category.
Manager detail →BAL bullpen last 7 games: Keegan Akin led usage; Rico Garcia had better ERA
Baltimore Orioles bullpen usage, last 7 games — Keegan Akin 4 apps/52p (ERA 9.45), Anthony Nunez 3 apps/59p (ERA 4.26), Rico Garcia 3 apps/51p (ERA 0.50). Most-used arm: Keegan Akin (4 apps, ERA 9.45). Lowest ERA among less-used arms: Rico…
Team page →Boone has used 27 different lineups in 30 games
Aaron Boone (NYY) has run 27 distinct starting lineups across 30 games this season — that's 90% turnover game-to-game. Most managers stay below 14 for the same span.
Manager detail →Cash has used 29 different lineups in 29 games
Kevin Cash (TB) has run 29 distinct starting lineups across 29 games this season — that's 100% turnover game-to-game. Most managers stay below 13 for the same span.
Manager detail →Tracy has used 27 different lineups in 29 games
Chad Tracy (BOS) has run 27 distinct starting lineups across 29 games this season — that's 93% turnover game-to-game. Most managers stay below 13 for the same span.
Manager detail →Keep reading
Methodology
Counterfactual standings project each team's remaining
games as if every lineup card had been the optimizer's recommendation.
The math is a snapshot: winsFlip = round(seasonLineupCost / 10),
added to the current win column and subtracted from the loss column.
Manager grades come from the same per-game decision audit used on /managers. Insights are emitted by templates under /methodology and refreshed hourly or nightly depending on the template tier.