AL Central
Standings
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB | RD | L10 | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cleveland Guardians | 82 | 75 | .522 | - | +3 | 8-2 | W6 |
| 2 | Chicago White Sox | 81 | 76 | .516 | 1.0 | +45 | 6-4 | W3 |
| 3 | Minnesota Twins | 74 | 84 | .468 | 8.5 | -66 | 4-6 | W1 |
| 4 | Detroit Tigers | 74 | 84 | .468 | 8.5 | +73 | 5-5 | L1 |
| 5 | Kansas City Royals | 67 | 90 | .427 | 15.0 | -105 | 2-8 | L5 |
| # | Team | W* | L* | ±W | Δ Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cleveland Guardians | 82 | 75 | 0 | — |
| 2 | Chicago White Sox | 82 | 75 | +1 | — |
| 3 | Minnesota Twins | 74 | 84 | 0 | — |
| 4 | Detroit Tigers | 74 | 84 | 0 | — |
| 5 | Kansas City Royals | 67 | 90 | 0 | — |
Optimal projects each team's remaining games as if every lineup was optimizer-recommended (snapshot, not full season replay). See methodology below.
Manager decisions across the division
All managers →| Team | Manager | Lineup | Bunts | IBBs | Relievers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tigers | A.J. Hinch 149 GP | 4.95 R · 0.03 R/G | 0.93 R · 0.01 R/G | 1.44 R · 0.01 R/G | 18.10 R · 0.12 R/G |
| Guardians | Stephen Vogt 152 GP | 2.99 R · 0.02 R/G | 3.20 R · 0.02 R/G | 1.80 R · 0.01 R/G | 28.58 R · 0.19 R/G |
| White Sox | Will Venable 154 GP | 5.98 R · 0.04 R/G | 3.35 R · 0.02 R/G | 3.19 R · 0.02 R/G | 26.53 R · 0.17 R/G |
| Twins | Derek Shelton 150 GP | 3.30 R · 0.02 R/G | 1.17 R · 0.01 R/G | 3.81 R · 0.03 R/G | 36.53 R · 0.24 R/G |
| Royals | Matt Quatraro 152 GP | 4.60 R · 0.03 R/G | 3.10 R · 0.02 R/G | 2.47 R · 0.02 R/G | 50.34 R · 0.33 R/G |
All costs are tenure-bounded, season to date, and shown as a season total plus a per-game rate (R/G). Lower is better. The categories aren't summed into a total — lineup, bunts and IBBs cover every game while reliever selection covers high-leverage spots only (7th inning+, 1–3 run game), so a single composite would mix scopes. The Relievers leaderboard shows a rolling 30-day window. Fired-manager teams get a sub-row showing the predecessor's own tenure separately.
Run differential
Recent form
RunsLeft insights · AL Central
Detroit Tigers on pace for +75 run differential
Through 158 games the Detroit Tigers have outscored opponents by 73 (707-634) — projects to +75 over a full season. Tops the AL Cent.
Team page →Munetaka Murakami's OPS swings 2.250 between lineup spots
Munetaka Murakami (CWS) has hit in 7 different lineup spots over 110 games this season. OPS by spot: 2nd .751 (79 g), 3rd .718 (16 g), 4th .848 (9 g), 5th .875 (2 g), 6th 2.750 (1 g), 7th .500 (1 g), 8th .500 (2 g).
See on team page →Brett Callahan's OPS swings 2.000 between lineup spots
Brett Callahan (DET) has hit in 7 different lineup spots over 21 games this season. OPS by spot: 1st .375 (4 g), 3rd .000 (2 g), 5th .333 (4 g), 6th .500 (5 g), 7th .778 (3 g), 8th .375 (2 g), 9th 2.000 (1 g).
See on team page →Walker Jenkins's OPS swings .400 between lineup spots
Walker Jenkins (MIN) has hit in 4 different lineup spots over 17 games this season. OPS by spot: 1st .400 (1 g), 4th — (1 g), 8th .000 (2 g), 9th .387 (13 g).
See on team page →Luke Keaschall's OPS swings .567 between lineup spots
Luke Keaschall (MIN) has hit in 9 different lineup spots over 178 games this season. OPS by spot: 1st .744 (26 g), 2nd .517 (3 g), 3rd .603 (35 g), 4th .698 (21 g), 5th .903 (12 g), 6th .449 (25 g), 7th .784 (22 g), 8th .842 (23 g), 9th 1.…
See on team page →John Peck's OPS swings .611 between lineup spots
John Peck (DET) has hit in 5 different lineup spots over 19 games this season. OPS by spot: 2nd — (2 g), 3rd — (1 g), 7th .959 (2 g), 8th .750 (2 g), 9th .347 (12 g).
See on team page →Keep reading
Methodology
Counterfactual standings project each team's remaining
games as if every lineup card had been the optimizer's recommendation.
The math is a snapshot: winsFlip = round(seasonLineupCost / 10),
added to the current win column and subtracted from the loss column.
Manager decision costs come from the same per-game decision audit used on /managers. Insights are emitted by templates under /methodology and refreshed hourly or nightly depending on the template tier.