AL Central
Standings
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB | RD | L10 | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chicago White Sox | 60 | 56 | .517 | - | +35 | 5-5 | W1 |
| 2 | Minnesota Twins | 58 | 60 | .492 | 3.0 | -34 | 4-6 | L1 |
| 3 | Cleveland Guardians | 58 | 60 | .492 | 3.0 | -25 | 3-7 | L1 |
| 4 | Detroit Tigers | 57 | 60 | .487 | 3.5 | +85 | 7-3 | W1 |
| 5 | Kansas City Royals | 49 | 69 | .415 | 12.0 | -102 | 4-6 | W1 |
| # | Team | W* | L* | ±W | Δ Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chicago White Sox | 60 | 56 | 0 | — |
| 2 | Minnesota Twins | 58 | 60 | 0 | — |
| 3 | Cleveland Guardians | 58 | 60 | 0 | — |
| 4 | Detroit Tigers | 57 | 60 | 0 | — |
| 5 | Kansas City Royals | 49 | 69 | 0 | — |
Optimal projects each team's remaining games as if every lineup was optimizer-recommended (snapshot, not full season replay). See methodology below.
Manager decisions across the division
All managers →| Team | Manager | Lineup | Bunts | IBBs | Relievers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tigers | A.J. Hinch 109 GP | 4.12 R · 0.04 R/G | 0.78 R · 0.01 R/G | 1.22 R · 0.01 R/G | 15.66 R · 0.14 R/G |
| White Sox | Will Venable 116 GP | 4.97 R · 0.04 R/G | 3.07 R · 0.03 R/G | 2.46 R · 0.02 R/G | 17.00 R · 0.15 R/G |
| Twins | Derek Shelton 117 GP | 2.55 R · 0.02 R/G | 0.82 R · 0.01 R/G | 1.95 R · 0.02 R/G | 26.11 R · 0.22 R/G |
| Guardians | Stephen Vogt 116 GP | 2.55 R · 0.02 R/G | 2.65 R · 0.02 R/G | 1.80 R · 0.02 R/G | 26.16 R · 0.23 R/G |
| Royals | Matt Quatraro 117 GP | 3.72 R · 0.03 R/G | 2.44 R · 0.02 R/G | 1.80 R · 0.02 R/G | 38.48 R · 0.33 R/G |
All costs are tenure-bounded, season to date, and shown as a season total plus a per-game rate (R/G). Lower is better. The categories aren't summed into a total — lineup, bunts and IBBs cover every game while reliever selection covers high-leverage spots only (7th inning+, 1–3 run game), so a single composite would mix scopes. The Relievers leaderboard shows a rolling 30-day window. Fired-manager teams get a sub-row showing the predecessor's own tenure separately.
Run differential
Recent form
RunsLeft insights · AL Central
Detroit Tigers on pace for +118 run differential
Through 117 games the Detroit Tigers have outscored opponents by 85 (536-451) — projects to +118 over a full season. Tops the AL Cent.
Team page →CLE bullpen last 7 games: Matt Festa led usage; Colin Holderman had better ERA
Cleveland Guardians bullpen usage, last 7 games — Matt Festa 4 apps/64p (ERA 4.28), Tim Herrin 3 apps/51p (ERA 3.82), Craig Yoho 3 apps/44p (ERA 3.91). Most-used arm: Matt Festa (4 apps, ERA 4.28). Lowest ERA among less-used arms: Colin Ho…
Team page →KC bullpen last 7 games: Steven Cruz led usage; Easton McGee had better ERA
Kansas City Royals bullpen usage, last 7 games — Steven Cruz 4 apps/65p (ERA 4.19), Nate Pearson 4 apps/57p (ERA 2.81), Daniel Lynch IV 2 apps/46p (ERA 2.45). Most-used arm: Steven Cruz (4 apps, ERA 4.19). Lowest ERA among less-used arms:…
Team page →Munetaka Murakami's OPS swings 2.250 between lineup spots
Munetaka Murakami (CWS) has hit in 5 different lineup spots over 74 games this season. OPS by spot: 2nd .843 (58 g), 3rd .779 (11 g), 4th 1.750 (2 g), 6th 2.750 (1 g), 8th .500 (2 g).
See on team page →Chase Meidroth's OPS swings .938 between lineup spots
Chase Meidroth (CWS) has hit in 9 different lineup spots over 229 games this season. OPS by spot: 1st .624 (94 g), 2nd .598 (31 g), 3rd .000 (3 g), 4th .278 (3 g), 5th .639 (31 g), 6th .799 (16 g), 7th .938 (14 g), 8th .613 (25 g), 9th .58…
See on team page →Luke Keaschall's OPS swings .551 between lineup spots
Luke Keaschall (MIN) has hit in 9 different lineup spots over 148 games this season. OPS by spot: 1st .533 (3 g), 2nd .517 (3 g), 3rd .603 (35 g), 4th .698 (21 g), 5th .910 (11 g), 6th .465 (22 g), 7th .675 (19 g), 8th .842 (23 g), 9th 1.0…
See on team page →Keep reading
Methodology
Counterfactual standings project each team's remaining
games as if every lineup card had been the optimizer's recommendation.
The math is a snapshot: winsFlip = round(seasonLineupCost / 10),
added to the current win column and subtracted from the loss column.
Manager decision costs come from the same per-game decision audit used on /managers. Insights are emitted by templates under /methodology and refreshed hourly or nightly depending on the template tier.