AL Central
Standings
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB | RD | L10 | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chicago White Sox | 41 | 38 | .519 | - | -3 | 4-6 | L1 |
| 2 | Cleveland Guardians | 42 | 39 | .519 | - | -8 | 4-6 | W1 |
| 3 | Minnesota Twins | 38 | 44 | .463 | 4.5 | -29 | 6-4 | L3 |
| 4 | Detroit Tigers | 34 | 46 | .425 | 7.5 | -6 | 5-5 | L2 |
| 5 | Kansas City Royals | 34 | 47 | .420 | 8.0 | -38 | 6-4 | L1 |
| # | Team | W* | L* | ±W | Δ Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chicago White Sox | 41 | 38 | 0 | — |
| 2 | Cleveland Guardians | 42 | 39 | 0 | — |
| 3 | Minnesota Twins | 38 | 44 | 0 | — |
| 4 | Detroit Tigers | 34 | 46 | 0 | — |
| 5 | Kansas City Royals | 34 | 47 | 0 | — |
Optimal projects each team's remaining games as if every lineup was optimizer-recommended (snapshot, not full season replay). See methodology below.
Manager decisions across the division
All managers →| Team | Manager | Lineup | Bunts | IBBs | Relievers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Twins | Derek Shelton 82 GP | 1.74 R · 0.02 R/G | 0.67 R · 0.01 R/G | 0.99 R · 0.01 R/G | 10.44 R · 0.13 R/G |
| Tigers | A.J. Hinch 79 GP | 3.56 R · 0.05 R/G | 0.59 R · 0.01 R/G | 0.63 R · 0.01 R/G | 11.05 R · 0.14 R/G |
| White Sox | Will Venable 79 GP | 4.19 R · 0.05 R/G | 2.88 R · 0.04 R/G | 1.41 R · 0.02 R/G | 8.45 R · 0.11 R/G |
| Guardians | Stephen Vogt 81 GP | 2.07 R · 0.03 R/G | 1.15 R · 0.01 R/G | 1.38 R · 0.02 R/G | 15.16 R · 0.19 R/G |
| Royals | Matt Quatraro 81 GP | 3.10 R · 0.04 R/G | 1.58 R · 0.02 R/G | 1.62 R · 0.02 R/G | 27.13 R · 0.33 R/G |
All costs are tenure-bounded, season to date, and shown as a season total plus a per-game rate (R/G). Lower is better. The categories aren't summed into a total — lineup, bunts and IBBs cover every game while reliever selection covers high-leverage spots only (7th inning+, 1–3 run game), so a single composite would mix scopes. The Relievers leaderboard shows a rolling 30-day window. Fired-manager teams get a sub-row showing the predecessor's own tenure separately.
Run differential
Recent form
RunsLeft insights · AL Central
Quatraro now at 6.1R lost to lineup decisions
Matt Quatraro (KC) has cost 6.1 runs across lineup, bunt, and IBB decisions this season — past the 5R watermark. Lineup decisions account for 3.1R, the largest single category.
Manager detail →CWS bullpen last 7 games: Chris Murphy led usage; Bryan Hudson had better ERA
Chicago White Sox bullpen usage, last 7 games — Chris Murphy 4 apps/53p (ERA 4.80), Brandon Eisert 3 apps/70p (ERA 5.49), Seranthony Domínguez 3 apps/67p (ERA 4.45). Most-used arm: Chris Murphy (4 apps, ERA 4.80). Lowest ERA among less-use…
Team page →KC bullpen last 7 games: Beck Way led usage; Daniel Lynch IV had better ERA
Kansas City Royals bullpen usage, last 7 games — Beck Way 4 apps/86p (ERA 3.97), Matt Strahm 3 apps/54p (ERA 6.20), Connor Seabold 2 apps/66p (ERA 4.84). Most-used arm: Beck Way (4 apps, ERA 3.97). Lowest ERA among less-used arms: Daniel L…
Team page →Munetaka Murakami's OPS swings 2.250 between lineup spots
Munetaka Murakami (CWS) has hit in 5 different lineup spots over 52 games this season. OPS by spot: 2nd .864 (36 g), 3rd .779 (11 g), 4th 1.750 (2 g), 6th 2.750 (1 g), 8th .500 (2 g).
See on team page →Chase Meidroth's OPS swings .858 between lineup spots
Chase Meidroth (CWS) has hit in 9 different lineup spots over 195 games this season. OPS by spot: 1st .605 (89 g), 2nd .598 (31 g), 3rd .000 (2 g), 4th .000 (1 g), 5th .606 (28 g), 6th .740 (10 g), 7th .858 (9 g), 8th .698 (16 g), 9th .579…
See on team page →Chase Delauter's OPS swings 2.000 between lineup spots
Chase Delauter (CLE) has hit in 6 different lineup spots over 57 games this season. OPS by spot: 2nd .747 (27 g), 3rd .531 (21 g), 4th .500 (2 g), 5th .837 (5 g), 6th .000 (1 g), 8th 2.000 (1 g).
See on team page →Keep reading
Methodology
Counterfactual standings project each team's remaining
games as if every lineup card had been the optimizer's recommendation.
The math is a snapshot: winsFlip = round(seasonLineupCost / 10),
added to the current win column and subtracted from the loss column.
Manager decision costs come from the same per-game decision audit used on /managers. Insights are emitted by templates under /methodology and refreshed hourly or nightly depending on the template tier.