AL West
Standings
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB | RD | L10 | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Houston Astros | 81 | 81 | .500 | - | -32 | 5-5 | W2 |
| 2 | Texas Rangers | 80 | 82 | .494 | 1.0 | -46 | 4-6 | L1 |
| 3 | Seattle Mariners | 76 | 86 | .469 | 5.0 | -58 | 6-4 | W2 |
| 4 | Oakland Athletics | 64 | 98 | .395 | 17.0 | -238 | 3-7 | L2 |
| 5 | Los Angeles Angels | 62 | 100 | .383 | 19.0 | -97 | 4-6 | L2 |
| # | Team | W* | L* | ±W | Δ Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Houston Astros | 82 | 80 | +1 | — |
| 2 | Texas Rangers | 80 | 82 | 0 | — |
| 3 | Seattle Mariners | 76 | 86 | 0 | — |
| 4 | Oakland Athletics | 64 | 98 | 0 | — |
| 5 | Los Angeles Angels | 62 | 100 | 0 | — |
Optimal projects each team's remaining games as if every lineup was optimizer-recommended (snapshot, not full season replay). See methodology below.
Manager decisions across the division
All managers →| Team | Manager | Lineup | Bunts | IBBs | Relievers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Astros | Joe Espada 151 GP | 5.51 R · 0.04 R/G | 2.46 R · 0.02 R/G | 0.71 R · 0.00 R/G | 22.77 R · 0.15 R/G |
| Athletics | Mark Kotsay 123 GP | 4.42 R · 0.04 R/G | 2.32 R · 0.02 R/G | 3.58 R · 0.03 R/G | 20.96 R · 0.17 R/G |
| Mariners | Dan Wilson 131 GP | 3.16 R · 0.02 R/G | 1.40 R · 0.01 R/G | 3.80 R · 0.03 R/G | 31.66 R · 0.24 R/G |
| Rangers | Skip Schumaker 154 GP | 3.31 R · 0.02 R/G | 4.63 R · 0.03 R/G | 6.33 R · 0.04 R/G | 34.55 R · 0.22 R/G |
| Angels | Kurt Suzuki 122 GP | 2.99 R · 0.02 R/G | 4.59 R · 0.04 R/G | 5.83 R · 0.05 R/G | 42.38 R · 0.35 R/G |
All costs are tenure-bounded, season to date, and shown as a season total plus a per-game rate (R/G). Lower is better. The categories aren't summed into a total — lineup, bunts and IBBs cover every game while reliever selection covers high-leverage spots only (7th inning+, 1–3 run game), so a single composite would mix scopes. The Relievers leaderboard shows a rolling 30-day window. Fired-manager teams get a sub-row showing the predecessor's own tenure separately.
Run differential
Recent form
RunsLeft insights · AL West
Schumaker now at 14.3R lost to lineup decisions
Skip Schumaker (TEX) has cost 14.3 runs across lineup, bunt, and IBB decisions this season — past the 10R watermark. Lineup decisions account for 3.3R, the largest single category.
Manager detail →Kanzler now at 8.4R lost to lineup decisions
Jason Kanzler (SEA) has cost 8.4 runs across lineup, bunt, and IBB decisions this season — past the 5R watermark. Lineup decisions account for 3.2R, the largest single category.
Manager detail →Kotsay now at 10.3R lost to lineup decisions
Mark Kotsay (ATH) has cost 10.3 runs across lineup, bunt, and IBB decisions this season — past the 10R watermark. Lineup decisions account for 4.4R, the largest single category.
Manager detail →Lucas Spence's OPS swings .875 between lineup spots
Lucas Spence (HOU) has hit in 5 different lineup spots over 12 games this season. OPS by spot: 2nd — (1 g), 6th .000 (1 g), 7th .600 (3 g), 8th .875 (4 g), 9th .625 (3 g).
See on team page →Joshua Kuroda Grauer's OPS swings 1.100 between lineup spots
Joshua Kuroda Grauer (ATH) has hit in 4 different lineup spots over 11 games this season. OPS by spot: 1st .000 (1 g), 2nd .500 (1 g), 5th .625 (4 g), 7th 1.100 (5 g).
See on team page →Zach Cole's OPS swings 2.333 between lineup spots
Zach Cole (HOU) has hit in 8 different lineup spots over 26 games this season. OPS by spot: 1st .067 (3 g), 2nd 2.333 (2 g), 4th .000 (1 g), 5th .000 (3 g), 6th .771 (4 g), 7th 1.413 (5 g), 8th 1.264 (6 g), 9th .125 (2 g).
See on team page →Keep reading
Methodology
Counterfactual standings project each team's remaining
games as if every lineup card had been the optimizer's recommendation.
The math is a snapshot: winsFlip = round(seasonLineupCost / 10),
added to the current win column and subtracted from the loss column.
Manager decision costs come from the same per-game decision audit used on /managers. Insights are emitted by templates under /methodology and refreshed hourly or nightly depending on the template tier.