July 28, 2026 · NL Cent
Cleveland Guardians at Cincinnati Reds
@
Probable starters
AWAY · CLE
HOME
TBD
Lineups
Lineups are usually announced ~90 minutes before first pitch. Check back soon.
Hitter season stats
Season-to-date lines for each hitter in the projected lineup, with a Marcel projection (Proj OPS). Season columns are 2026 to date; Proj is a forward-looking estimate, not a result.
AWAY · CLE Projected · top 9 by AB
| BATTER | 2026 SEASON | PROJ OPS | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | HR | RBI | K | ||
| 1 Brayan Rocchio SS · S | .268 | .328 | .398 | .726 | 9 | 49 | 59 | .717 |
| 2 Chase DeLauter RF · L | .282 | .352 | .447 | .799 | 11 | 50 | 52 | .742 |
| 3 Steven Kwan CF · L | .248 | .351 | .308 | .659 | 1 | 18 | 38 | .728 |
| 4 Kyle Manzardo 1B · L | .209 | .298 | .358 | .656 | 11 | 32 | 108 | .739 |
| 5 José Ramírez 3B · S | .236 | .335 | .405 | .740 | 10 | 35 | 45 | .758 |
| 6 Travis Bazzana 2B · L | .239 | .335 | .400 | .735 | 9 | 33 | 70 | .746 |
| 7 Angel Martínez LF · S | .228 | .264 | .422 | .686 | 11 | 33 | 55 | .726 |
| 8 Rhys Hoskins 1B · R | .174 | .304 | .369 | .673 | 11 | 33 | 92 | .714 |
| 9 Patrick Bailey C · S | .200 | .255 | .310 | .565 | 5 | 19 | 55 | .704 |
HOME · CIN Projected · top 9 by AB
| BATTER | 2026 SEASON | PROJ OPS | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | HR | RBI | K | ||
| 1 Sal Stewart 1B · R | .253 | .329 | .470 | .799 | 21 | 76 | 95 | .753 |
| 2 Elly De La Cruz SS · S | .278 | .354 | .506 | .860 | 18 | 47 | 103 | .761 |
| 3 JJ Bleday LF · L | .234 | .343 | .469 | .812 | 17 | 44 | 66 | .725 |
| 4 Eugenio Suárez DH · R | .207 | .280 | .402 | .682 | 14 | 39 | 108 | .728 |
| 5 Tyler Stephenson C · R | .244 | .320 | .392 | .712 | 8 | 28 | 71 | .726 |
| 6 Nathaniel Lowe DH · L | .256 | .333 | .475 | .808 | 12 | 33 | 64 | .721 |
| 7 TJ Friedl CF · L | .171 | .259 | .256 | .515 | 3 | 11 | 54 | .728 |
| 8 Noelvi Marte RF · R | .193 | .240 | .359 | .599 | 6 | 13 | 36 | .737 |
| 9 Ke'Bryan Hayes 3B · R | .148 | .204 | .239 | .443 | 3 | 6 | 25 | .696 |
Pitcher vs. lineup projection
Projected expected wOBA for each probable starter against the opposing lineup, by batting order. A season-to-date matchup read — forward-looking, not a result.
-
1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .331
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (22% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .398 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
2 SS Spencer Steer RHB .298
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Steer
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 467 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (22% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
3 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .324
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 568 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (22% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
-
4 JB JJ Bleday LHB .317
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 388 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (22% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
-
5 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .300
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 491 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (22% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
6 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .307
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 333 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (22% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
7 NL Nathaniel Lowe LHB .304
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathaniel Lowe
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 511 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (22% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
-
8 TF TJ Friedl LHB .295
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Friedl
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 447 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (22% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
9 NM Noelvi Marte RHB .290
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Noelvi Marte
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (22% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Manager comparison
AWAY · CLE
Lineup 2.3 R
Bunts 2.2 R
IBBs 1.8 R
HOME · CIN
Lineup 2.2 R
Bunts 2.0 R
IBBs 3.4 R
Bullpen availability
AWAY · CLE
- Available 8
- Limited 0
- Rest required 0
- Inactive 0
HOME · CIN
- Available 4
- Limited 4
- Rest required 0
- Inactive 0
Recent form
AWAY · CLE
2-7
?1
-18 run diff
?LLLLLWWLL
HOME · CIN
6-3
?1
-6 run diff
?WLWWWLWLW
Season series: 0-0 with CLE listed first across 1 prior meeting.
Pitching & bullpen preview
Probable starters and each bullpen's availability load in the sections above — the Guardians and Reds staffs going in.
Once the game ends, a full pitching and bullpen breakdown appears here: starter lines, the relief sequence and each arm's role, pitch counts, and where the game turned.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. The pitching analysis describes how the game was pitched — the starter's line, the bullpen sequence and each arm's role (opener, bulk, setup, closer), pitch counts as a fatigue signal, and the leverage context where the game turned. Reliever roles are inferred from how the manager used each arm up to that date. It describes structure and constraints; it does not grade the manager.