RunsLeft › Pitchers › Daniel Espino
Relief Pitcher

Daniel Espino

Reliever
Model projection · strikeout prop
34.1%
34.1% against a 57.7% break-even. Over 1.5 Ks, tonight vs. MIN. Confidence low.
ERA
2.70
FIP
–
IP
10.0
W-L
0-0
WHIP
1.30
K%
41.9
BB%
9.3
GB%
–
K/9
16.2
HR/9
0.9

Tonight's Matchup

vs. Twins · pregame

Projected xwOBA vs. Twins current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) — season profile, not tonight's posted lineup · lineup avg .309

  1. 1 BL Brooks Lee SH .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (62% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 385 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 JB Josh Bell SH .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (62% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 536 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KC Kody Clemens SH .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (62% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 381 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
    • Four-Seam Fastball (62% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 RL Royce Lewis RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (62% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 TL Trevor Larnach LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Larnach
    • Four-Seam Fastball (62% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 473 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 VC Victor Caratini SH .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
    • Four-Seam Fastball (62% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 361 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 AM Austin Martin RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Martin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (62% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 RJ Ryan Jeffers RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Jeffers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (62% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 386 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
▸ Full season matchup breakdown → · game preview

Four-Seam Fastball

FF · lead pitch

62% of pitches · .215 xwOBA allowed · 21 BIP · where it goes, what it costs

Pitcher Locations
where he throws it · catcher’s view
1%7%2%6%1%4%3%9%12%8%3%8%14%7%7%0%0%0%2%1%1%2%0%0%1%
Rare 0% · Common 10% · Very common 20%+
xwOBA Allowed
damage done by zone · all batters
–.233.000––––.000.000.000.700.512.439.000.000–––.008––.700–––
Cold .200 · Avg .310 · Hot .500+
Expected Damage
locations × damage zones
–.016.000––––.000.000.000.023.040.063.000.000–––.000––.015–––
Low risk · Average · High-risk zone
Four-Seam Fastball (62% usage) has allowed .215 xwOBA over 21 balls in play — his most-used pitch.

Arsenal

usage × whiff, ranked

3 pitch types · 159-pitch sample · 2026 season

Four-Seam Fastball FF
62% usage · 43% whiff · .215 xwOBA · 99.0 mph
Slider SL
29% usage · 24% whiff · .279 xwOBA · 91.9 mph
Curveball CU
9% usage · .221 xwOBA
Whiff% Trend
last 8 outings · by pitch · min 5 swings per point
01020304050607080906/176/196/266/307/29/49/79/9
Four-Seam FastballSliderCurveball
Hand Splits
K% + xwOBA allowed by batter side · 2026 season
SplitK%xwOBASample
vs. LHB– – 19
vs. RHB– – 20
Live · client-hydrated

Market lines

current pick’em lines by book · updates through the day

Live lines load in your browser.
Live · client-hydrated

DFS picks

today’s picks for this pitcher, probability-sorted · graded nightly

Today’s picks load in your browser.