Terry Francona

Decision cost by category

Record

34-38

wins-losses

Games

72

with decision data

Lineup

1.62 R 0.02 R/G

Bunts

1.47 R 0.02 R/G

IBBs

2.90 R 0.04 R/G

Relievers

17.07 R 0.23 R/G

Season to date · categories cover different scopes and aren't summed into a total — reliever selection is high-leverage spots only; the Relievers leaderboard shows a rolling 30-day window.

Cost by category

Cincinnati Reds cost themselves 1.62 R from lineup decisions, 17.07 R from high-leverage reliever selection, 1.47 R from bunts, 2.90 R from intentional walks.

LINEUP DECISIONS · 1.62 R RELIEVER SELECTION · 17.07 R BUNTS · 1.47 R INTENTIONAL WALKS · 2.90 R

Season to date · shown per category, not summed — reliever selection is high-leverage spots only (the Relievers board uses a rolling 30-day window).

How this compares — league ranking

Lineup decisions

Terry Francona ranks 8th of 30 managers in MLB.

1 Dave Roberts LAD 0.87 R
2 John Schneider TOR 1.08 R
3 Pat Murphy MIL 1.26 R
…
8 Terry Francona CIN 1.62 R
…
28 Carlos Mendoza NYM 3.71 R
29 Joe Espada HOU 3.84 R
30 Will Venable CWS 4.08 R

Bunt decisions

Terry Francona ranks 20th of 30 managers in MLB.

1 Walt Weiss ATL 0.00 R
2 Aaron Boone NYY 0.09 R
3 A.J. Hinch DET 0.39 R
…
20 Terry Francona CIN 1.47 R
…
28 Torey Lovullo AZ 2.80 R
29 Pat Murphy MIL 2.76 R
30 Will Venable CWS 2.88 R

Intentional walks

Terry Francona ranks 28th of 30 managers in MLB.

1 Don Mattingly PHI 0.11 R
2 Chad Tracy BOS 0.17 R
3 Walt Weiss ATL 0.33 R
28 Terry Francona CIN 2.90 R
29 Kurt Suzuki LAA 3.42 R
30 Pat Murphy MIL 4.11 R

Game-by-game breakdown

Last 7 in tenure · Δ R/G

Jun 19 @ NYY L Cam Schlittler 0-5 +2.51

⚐ Lineup mishaps cost ~2.51 R

Jun 17 vs NYM L Nolan McLean 1-9 +4.71

⚐ Lineup mishaps cost ~2.80 R

Jun 16 vs NYM W Kodai Senga 5-3 +1.78

⚐ Pulled too late cost ~1.78 R

Jun 15 vs NYM W Jonathan Pintaro 12-0 +0.09 Jun 14 vs AZ L Zac Gallen 3-5 +3.47

⚐ Lineup mishaps cost ~1.79 R

Jun 13 vs AZ W Michael Soroka 2-1 +2.31

⚐ Lineup mishaps cost ~1.49 R

Jun 12 vs AZ L Eduardo Rodriguez 2-5 +4.04

⚐ Pulled too late cost ~2.78 R

Most costly decisions

Flagged · click for detail

JUN 17 · vs NYM +4.71 R/G

Lineup mishaps cost ~2.80 R

vs Nolan McLean · L 1-9

JUN 12 · vs AZ +4.04 R/G

Pulled too late cost ~2.78 R

vs Eduardo Rodriguez · L 2-5

JUN 14 · vs AZ +3.47 R/G

Lineup mishaps cost ~1.79 R

vs Zac Gallen · L 3-5

JUN 19 · @ NYY +2.51 R/G

Lineup mishaps cost ~2.51 R

vs Cam Schlittler · L 0-5

Tenure summary

Terry Francona manages the Cincinnati Reds, with their current tenure beginning March 26, 2026.

Through 72 games of decision data, their tactical decisions cost the team an estimated 5.99 R across lineup construction, bunt strategy, and intentional walks. Lineup decisions accounted for 1.62 R of that — the largest single category.

The team's 34-38 record places them 4 games under .500. Francona has called 10 sacrifice bunts (1.47 R in expected runs). Intentional walks have been issued 12 times for an expected cost of 2.90 R.

Deep analytical views

The overview above is the SEO surface. Each link below opens the interactive analyzer for that decision type — sortable lists, per-game breakdowns, and the underlying numbers.

Keep reading

How this is calculated

Stats reflect only Terry Francona's tenure as Reds manager — events from before the start date or after the end date are excluded. Lineup cost is the difference between an optimized batting order and the one actually used, summed across regular-season games. Bunt and intentional-walk costs come from per-decision run-expectancy deltas. Pitching cost is the sum of pull-timing and reliever-selection runs lost. Costs are shown as a season total and a per-game rate (R/G); rankings compare this tenure's per-game rate against the league-wide distribution of current and recent manager tenures. RunsLeft does not assign letter grades — the costs and rankings are descriptive analytics.

Read the full methodology. Career managing history coming in v2 with Lahman integration.