Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Trea Turner SS
- 2 Kyle Schwarber DH
- 3 Bryce Harper 1B
- 4 Adolis García RF
- 5 Brandon Marsh LF
- 6 Bryson Stott 2B
- 7 Alec Bohm 3B
- 8 Garrett Stubbs C
- 9 Justin Crawford CF
- 1 Jakob Marsee CF
- 2 Kyle Stowers LF
- 3 Otto Lopez SS
- 4 Xavier Edwards 2B
- 5 Liam Hicks DH
- 6 Christopher Morel 1B
- 7 Joe Mack C
- 8 Owen Caissie RF
- 9 Graham Pauley 3B
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| MIA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C- / C+ entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 3-1 with PHI listed first across 4 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost −0.03 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.22 vs actual lineup 3.25
- Player execution −2.25 R/G Players fell 2.25 short of the lineup's 3.25 projection (scored 1)
- Game variance −2.22 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Turner 0-for-4 batting 1st
- Manager lineup cost −0.02 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.86 vs actual lineup 4.88
- Player execution −4.88 R/G Players fell 4.88 short of the lineup's 4.88 projection (scored 0)
- Game variance −4.86 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Lineup spots out of order vs season production
Optimal lineups projected 3.2 – 4.9 — actual was 1 – 0.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.