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Starting Pitcher · Philadelphia Phillies

Aaron Nola

RHP · Throws Right · Age 33Starter
ERA
4.67
FIP
–
IP
175.1
W-L
7-12
WHIP
1.35
K%
23.8
BB%
7.9
GB%
–
K/9
9.1
HR/9
1.9
Drafted by the Philadelphia Phillies in 2014 (round 1), he was signed by the Philadelphia Phillies in free agency in November 2023. He made his MLB debut on July 21, 2015.Facts: MLB StatsAPI (people · transactions)
No scheduled start today. The model projection and lineup matchup appear on start days.

Knuckle Curve

KC · lead pitch

33% of pitches · .246 xwOBA allowed · 688 BIP · where it goes, what it costs

Pitcher Locations
where he throws it · catcher’s view
0%0%0%0%0%1%1%0%0%0%6%9%11%8%2%1%4%8%6%3%1%4%9%14%13%
Rare 0% · Common 10% · Very common 20%+
xwOBA Allowed
damage done by zone · all batters
–.689–––.691.229.415––.408.350.433.293.271.176.358.404.202.126.691.146.162.106.133
Cold .200 · Avg .310 · Hot .500+
Expected Damage
locations × damage zones
–.000–––.006.002.002––.024.031.047.023.005.002.015.031.012.004.006.006.015.014.017
Low risk · Average · High-risk zone
Knuckle Curve (33% usage) has allowed .246 xwOBA over 688 balls in play — his most-used pitch.

Arsenal

usage × whiff, ranked

5 pitch types · 7,643-pitch sample · 2026/2025/2024 blend, weighted 4/3/1

Knuckle Curve KC
33% usage · 38% whiff · .246 xwOBA · 78.4 mph
Four-Seam Fastball FF
26% usage · 13% whiff · .356 xwOBA · 92.2 mph
Sinker SI
19% usage · 10% whiff · .365 xwOBA · 91.6 mph
Changeup CH
14% usage · 24% whiff · .305 xwOBA · 85.7 mph
Cutter FC
8% usage · 22% whiff · .370 xwOBA · 86.1 mph
Whiff% Trend
last 8 outings · by pitch · min 5 swings per point
01020304050608/258/319/69/119/179/239/2610/1
Knuckle CurveFour-Seam FastballSinker
Hand Splits
K% + xwOBA allowed by batter side · 2026/2025/2024 blend, weighted 4/3/1
SplitK%xwOBASample
vs. LHB22 .333 1,091
vs. RHB26.4 .284 833
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Market lines

current pick’em lines by book · updates through the day

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DFS picks

today’s picks for this pitcher, probability-sorted · graded nightly

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