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Starting Pitcher · Philadelphia Phillies

Aaron Nola

RHP · Throws Right · Age 33Starter

ERA

5.87

FIP

–

92.0

W-L

3-6

WHIP

1.46

23.2

BB%

7.2

GB%

–

K/9

9.2

HR/9

1.9

Drafted by the Philadelphia Phillies in 2014 (round 1), he was signed by the Philadelphia Phillies in free agency in November 2023. He made his MLB debut on July 21, 2015.Facts: MLB StatsAPI (people · transactions)

No scheduled start today. The model projection and lineup matchup appear on start days.

Knuckle Curve

KC · lead pitch

32% of pitches · .261 xwOBA allowed · 574 BIP · where it goes, what it costs

Pitcher Locations

where he throws it · catcher’s view

Rare 0% · Common 10% · Very common 20%+

xwOBA Allowed

damage done by zone · all batters

Cold .200 · Avg .310 · Hot .500+

Expected Damage

locations × damage zones

Low risk · Average · High-risk zone

Knuckle Curve (32% usage) has allowed .261 xwOBA over 574 balls in play — his most-used pitch.

Arsenal

usage × whiff, ranked

5 pitch types · 6,457-pitch sample · 2026/2025/2024 blend, weighted 4/3/1

Knuckle Curve KC

32% usage · 37% whiff · .261 xwOBA · 78.2 mph

Four-Seam Fastball FF

27% usage · 14% whiff · .359 xwOBA · 92.2 mph

Sinker SI

20% usage · 9% whiff · .346 xwOBA · 91.5 mph

Changeup CH

13% usage · 23% whiff · .299 xwOBA · 85.4 mph

Cutter FC

8% usage · 22% whiff · .359 xwOBA · 85.9 mph

Whiff% Trend

last 8 outings · by pitch · min 5 swings per point

Knuckle CurveFour-Seam FastballSinker

Hand Splits

K% + xwOBA allowed by batter side · 2026/2025/2024 blend, weighted 4/3/1

Split	K%	xwOBA	Sample
vs. LHB	21.8	.339	905
vs. RHB	25.9	.280	720

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Market lines

current pick’em lines by book · updates through the day

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DFS picks

today’s picks for this pitcher, probability-sorted · graded nightly

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