Washington Nationals vs New York Mets
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 James Wood DH
- 2 Curtis Mead 1B
- 3 Brady House 3B
- 4 CJ Abrams SS
- 5 Jacob Young CF
- 6 Daylen Lile LF
- 7 Joey Wiemer RF
- 8 Nasim Nuñez 2B
- 9 Keibert Ruiz C
- 1 Bo Bichette 3B
- 2 Juan Soto DH
- 3 MJ Melendez LF
- 4 Francisco Alvarez C
- 5 Brett Baty 1B
- 6 Tyrone Taylor CF
- 7 Carson Benge RF
- 8 Marcus Semien 2B
- 9 Ronny Mauricio SS
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSH | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 |
| NYM | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C / D+ entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 2-1 with WSH listed first across 3 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.06 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.86 vs actual lineup 4.79
- Player execution +9.21 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.79 projection by 9.21 (scored 14)
- Game variance +9.14 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Wiemer 2-for-5 from the 7-hole
- Manager lineup cost +0.00 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.89 vs actual lineup 3.88
- Player execution −1.88 R/G Players fell 1.88 short of the lineup's 3.88 projection (scored 2)
- Game variance −1.89 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Alvarez 0-for-4 batting 4th
Optimal lineups projected 4.9 – 3.9 — actual was 14 – 2.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.