PITCHER MATCHUP

DJ Herz vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against DJ Herz's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

DJ Herz's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .292vs RHH xwOBA .284Seasons 2024
Four-Seam Fastball 54%Changeup 25%Slider 18%Knuckle Curve 3%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against DJ Herz, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .322
  1. 1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (3% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (3% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 452 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (3% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RG Riley Greene LHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 555 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (3% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CK Colt Keith LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 420 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (3% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (3% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 GT Gleyber Torres RHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gleyber Torres
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 517 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (3% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (3% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
  9. 9 JB Javier Báez SH .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Báez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (3% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-21 game page →