September 21, 2026 · AL Cent
Washington Nationals at Detroit Tigers
@
Probable starters
AWAY · WSH
HOME · DET
Lineups
Lineups are usually announced ~90 minutes before first pitch. Check back soon.
Hitter season stats
Season-to-date lines for each hitter in the projected lineup, with a Marcel projection (Proj OPS). Season columns are 2026 to date; Proj is a forward-looking estimate, not a result.
AWAY · WSH Projected · top 9 by AB
| BATTER | 2026 SEASON | PROJ OPS | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | HR | RBI | K | ||
| 1 Daylen Lile LF · L | .251 | .303 | .440 | .743 | 22 | 88 | 124 | .759 |
| 2 CJ Abrams SS · L | .261 | .336 | .492 | .828 | 31 | 99 | 152 | .743 |
| 3 James Wood RF · L | .265 | .390 | .513 | .903 | 30 | 76 | 169 | .764 |
| 4 Nasim Nuñez 2B · S | .210 | .291 | .243 | .534 | 1 | 36 | 97 | .731 |
| 5 Jacob Young CF · R | .249 | .317 | .389 | .706 | 10 | 49 | 75 | .707 |
| 6 Dylan Crews RF · R | .222 | .286 | .371 | .657 | 12 | 43 | 101 | .731 |
| 7 Keibert Ruiz C · S | .285 | .323 | .455 | .778 | 10 | 47 | 36 | .706 |
| 8 Brady House 3B · R | .244 | .310 | .399 | .709 | 10 | 45 | 86 | .733 |
| 9 Jorbit Vivas 3B · L | .247 | .340 | .334 | .674 | 3 | 31 | 52 | .733 |
HOME · DET Projected · top 9 by AB
| BATTER | 2026 SEASON | PROJ OPS | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | HR | RBI | K | ||
| 1 Kevin McGonigle SS · L | .274 | .376 | .424 | .800 | 17 | 70 | 92 | .750 |
| 2 Dillon Dingler C · R | .243 | .301 | .450 | .751 | 27 | 89 | 136 | .724 |
| 3 Spencer Torkelson 1B · R | .229 | .326 | .424 | .750 | 24 | 72 | 184 | .738 |
| 4 Riley Greene LF · L | .285 | .372 | .484 | .856 | 21 | 75 | 152 | .766 |
| 5 Colt Keith 3B · L | .258 | .322 | .406 | .728 | 10 | 36 | 84 | .737 |
| 6 Zach McKinstry RF · L | .202 | .286 | .298 | .584 | 4 | 26 | 68 | .710 |
| 7 Gleyber Torres 2B · R | .262 | .365 | .368 | .733 | 8 | 38 | 79 | .729 |
| 8 Hao-Yu Lee 2B · R | .262 | .317 | .426 | .743 | 10 | 45 | 83 | .746 |
| 9 Javier Báez SS · R | .237 | .265 | .345 | .610 | 2 | 17 | 38 | .685 |
Pitcher vs. lineup projection
Projected expected wOBA for each probable starter against the opposing lineup, by batting order. A season-to-date matchup read — forward-looking, not a result.
-
1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .331
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
- Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (18% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (3% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
2 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .331
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
- Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (18% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (3% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
3 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .324
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
- Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 452 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (18% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (3% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
4 RG Riley Greene LHB .336
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
- Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 555 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (18% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (3% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
5 CK Colt Keith LHB .325
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
- Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 420 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (18% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (3% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
6 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .291
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
- Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (18% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (3% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
7 GT Gleyber Torres RHB .339
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gleyber Torres
- Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 517 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (18% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (3% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
8 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .314
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
- Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (18% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (3% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
-
9 JB Javier Báez SH .306
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Báez
- Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (18% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (3% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Manager comparison
AWAY · WSH
Lineup 3.9 R
Bunts 2.6 R
IBBs 2.4 R
HOME · DET
Lineup 4.9 R
Bunts 0.9 R
IBBs 1.4 R
Bullpen availability
AWAY · WSH
- Available 8
- Limited 2
- Rest required 0
- Inactive 0
HOME · DET
- Available 6
- Limited 2
- Rest required 1
- Inactive 0
Recent form
AWAY · WSH
6-4
L1
+4 run diff
LWWLWWWWLL
HOME · DET
6-4
L2
+13 run diff
LLWLLWWWWW
Pitching & bullpen preview
Probable starters and each bullpen's availability load in the sections above — the Nationals and Tigers staffs going in.
Once the game ends, a full pitching and bullpen breakdown appears here: starter lines, the relief sequence and each arm's role, pitch counts, and where the game turned.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. The pitching analysis describes how the game was pitched — the starter's line, the bullpen sequence and each arm's role (opener, bulk, setup, closer), pitch counts as a fatigue signal, and the leverage context where the game turned. Reliever roles are inferred from how the manager used each arm up to that date. It describes structure and constraints; it does not grade the manager.