September 23, 2026 · NL East
Cincinnati Reds at Atlanta Braves
@
Probable starters
AWAY · CIN
HOME · ATL
Lineups
Lineups are usually announced ~90 minutes before first pitch. Check back soon.
Hitter season stats
Season-to-date lines for each hitter in the projected lineup, with a Marcel projection (Proj OPS). Season columns are 2026 to date; Proj is a forward-looking estimate, not a result.
AWAY · CIN Projected · top 9 by AB
| BATTER | 2026 SEASON | PROJ OPS | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | HR | RBI | K | ||
| 1 Sal Stewart 1B · R | .268 | .334 | .470 | .804 | 32 | 110 | 147 | .753 |
| 2 Elly De La Cruz SS · S | .285 | .366 | .515 | .881 | 28 | 74 | 167 | .761 |
| 3 JJ Bleday LF · L | .215 | .325 | .415 | .740 | 23 | 57 | 116 | .725 |
| 4 Matt McLain 2B · R | .184 | .274 | .334 | .608 | 15 | 39 | 133 | .729 |
| 5 Eugenio Suárez DH · R | .209 | .305 | .423 | .728 | 24 | 69 | 161 | .728 |
| 6 Tyler Stephenson C · R | .246 | .327 | .411 | .738 | 15 | 54 | 123 | .723 |
| 7 Dane Myers CF · R | .260 | .347 | .372 | .719 | 7 | 26 | 79 | .708 |
| 8 Ke'Bryan Hayes 3B · R | .145 | .200 | .232 | .432 | 5 | 9 | 48 | .696 |
| 9 Jose Trevino C · R | .216 | .220 | .338 | .558 | 5 | 19 | 29 | .695 |
HOME · ATL Projected · top 9 by AB
| BATTER | 2026 SEASON | PROJ OPS | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | HR | RBI | K | ||
| 1 Matt Olson 1B · L | .253 | .324 | .506 | .830 | 40 | 89 | 169 | .764 |
| 2 Ozzie Albies 2B · S | .242 | .298 | .402 | .700 | 22 | 72 | 97 | .723 |
| 3 Michael Harris II CF · L | .289 | .318 | .486 | .804 | 26 | 85 | 117 | .737 |
| 4 Mauricio Dubón LF · R | .273 | .318 | .394 | .712 | 11 | 70 | 72 | .701 |
| 5 Austin Riley 3B · R | .220 | .292 | .360 | .652 | 17 | 69 | 193 | .741 |
| 6 Drake Baldwin C · L | .282 | .356 | .456 | .812 | 24 | 77 | 129 | .749 |
| 7 Ronald Acuña Jr. RF · R | .260 | .352 | .463 | .815 | 20 | 55 | 101 | .776 |
| 8 Mike Yastrzemski LF · L | .231 | .313 | .393 | .706 | 12 | 40 | 94 | .711 |
| 9 Dominic Smith DH · L | .255 | .312 | .376 | .688 | 8 | 44 | 46 | .713 |
Pitcher vs. lineup projection
Projected expected wOBA for each probable starter against the opposing lineup, by batting order. A season-to-date matchup read — forward-looking, not a result.
-
1 MO Matt Olson LHB .337
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 670 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (19% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (3% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
-
2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .281
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 505 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (19% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .241 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (3% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
3 MH Michael Harris II LHB .334
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 421 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (19% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (3% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
4 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .290
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 406 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (19% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (3% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
5 AR Austin Riley RHB .317
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 484 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (19% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (3% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .346
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (19% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (3% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
7 RA Ronald Acuña Jr. RHB .347
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ronald Acuña Jr.
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 355 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (19% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (3% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
8 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .310
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 530 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (19% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (3% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
9 DS Dominic Smith LHB .305
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Smith
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (19% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (3% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .328
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
- Slider (42% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (7% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
-
2 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .336
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
- Slider (42% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 616 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (7% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
-
3 JB JJ Bleday LHB .312
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
- Slider (42% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 452 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (7% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
-
4 MM Matt McLain RHB .301
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
- Slider (42% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (7% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
-
5 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .292
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
- Slider (42% usage) projects to .246 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 548 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (7% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 340 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
-
6 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .318
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
- Slider (42% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 377 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (7% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 314 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
-
7 DM Dane Myers RHB .308
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dane Myers
- Slider (42% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (7% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
8 KH Ke'Bryan Hayes RHB .292
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ke'Bryan Hayes
- Slider (42% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 296 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (7% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
9 JT Jose Trevino RHB .290
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Trevino
- Slider (42% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (7% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Manager comparison
AWAY · CIN
Lineup 3.1 R
Bunts 2.2 R
IBBs 4.4 R
HOME · ATL
Lineup 4.2 R
Bunts 1.3 R
IBBs 3.1 R
Bullpen availability
AWAY · CIN
- Available 6
- Limited 2
- Rest required 1
- Inactive 0
HOME · ATL
- Available 7
- Limited 1
- Rest required 0
- Inactive 0
Recent form
AWAY · CIN
3-7
L2
-41 run diff
LLWLWLLWLL
HOME · ATL
7-3
W3
+12 run diff
WWWLWLLWWW
Pitching & bullpen preview
Probable starters and each bullpen's availability load in the sections above — the Reds and Braves staffs going in.
Once the game ends, a full pitching and bullpen breakdown appears here: starter lines, the relief sequence and each arm's role, pitch counts, and where the game turned.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. The pitching analysis describes how the game was pitched — the starter's line, the bullpen sequence and each arm's role (opener, bulk, setup, closer), pitch counts as a fatigue signal, and the leverage context where the game turned. Reliever roles are inferred from how the manager used each arm up to that date. It describes structure and constraints; it does not grade the manager.