September 23, 2026 · AL West
New York Mets at Texas Rangers
@
Probable starters
AWAY · NYM
HOME
TBD
Lineups
Lineups are usually announced ~90 minutes before first pitch. Check back soon.
Hitter season stats
Season-to-date lines for each hitter in the projected lineup, with a Marcel projection (Proj OPS). Season columns are 2026 to date; Proj is a forward-looking estimate, not a result.
AWAY · NYM Projected · top 9 by AB
| BATTER | 2026 SEASON | PROJ OPS | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | HR | RBI | K | ||
| 1 Bo Bichette 3B · R | .263 | .312 | .392 | .704 | 17 | 76 | 123 | .742 |
| 2 Carson Benge RF · L | .275 | .339 | .419 | .758 | 19 | 61 | 136 | .746 |
| 3 Marcus Semien 2B · R | .219 | .285 | .341 | .626 | 14 | 48 | 100 | .707 |
| 4 A.J. Ewing CF · L | .257 | .325 | .379 | .704 | 10 | 40 | 119 | .750 |
| 5 Brett Baty 3B · L | .235 | .309 | .365 | .674 | 10 | 52 | 122 | .725 |
| 6 Francisco Lindor SS · S | .224 | .309 | .426 | .735 | 20 | 48 | 90 | .749 |
| 7 Juan Soto LF · L | .273 | .389 | .520 | .909 | 26 | 65 | 64 | .807 |
| 8 Francisco Alvarez C · R | .232 | .312 | .399 | .711 | 16 | 40 | 124 | .746 |
| 9 Mark Vientos 1B · R | .218 | .267 | .406 | .673 | 13 | 39 | 67 | .738 |
HOME · TEX Projected · top 9 by AB
| BATTER | 2026 SEASON | PROJ OPS | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | HR | RBI | K | ||
| 1 Brandon Nimmo RF · L | .260 | .325 | .407 | .732 | 14 | 61 | 142 | .727 |
| 2 Jake Burger 1B · R | .233 | .307 | .428 | .735 | 27 | 88 | 160 | .727 |
| 3 Ezequiel Duran SS · R | .264 | .325 | .431 | .756 | 17 | 83 | 135 | .715 |
| 4 Wyatt Langford LF · R | .244 | .342 | .437 | .779 | 17 | 42 | 98 | .752 |
| 5 Josh Jung 3B · R | .295 | .360 | .450 | .810 | 11 | 39 | 78 | .724 |
| 6 Evan Carter CF · L | .195 | .289 | .316 | .605 | 9 | 38 | 112 | .743 |
| 7 Joc Pederson DH · L | .235 | .329 | .487 | .816 | 26 | 53 | 102 | .720 |
| 8 Corey Seager SS · L | .231 | .321 | .426 | .747 | 18 | 47 | 94 | .763 |
| 9 Nicky Lopez 2B · L | .269 | .317 | .308 | .625 | 1 | 24 | 42 | .698 |
Pitcher vs. lineup projection
Projected expected wOBA for each probable starter against the opposing lineup, by batting order. A season-to-date matchup read — forward-looking, not a result.
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1 BN Brandon Nimmo LHB .326
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Nimmo
- Sinker (34% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 294 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 657 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (14% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (10% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (7% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (2% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
2 JB Jake Burger RHB .324
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Burger
- Sinker (34% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 315 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 357 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (14% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (10% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (7% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (2% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 ED Ezequiel Duran RHB .294
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Duran
- Sinker (34% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (14% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (10% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (7% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (2% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
4 WL Wyatt Langford RHB .317
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wyatt Langford
- Sinker (34% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 461 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (14% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (10% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (7% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (2% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
5 JJ Josh Jung RHB .317
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Jung
- Sinker (34% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (14% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (10% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (7% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (2% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
6 EC Evan Carter LHB .295
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Evan Carter
- Sinker (34% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (14% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (10% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (7% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (2% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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7 JP Joc Pederson LHB .339
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joc Pederson
- Sinker (34% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 353 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (14% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (10% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (7% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (2% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
-
8 CS Corey Seager LHB .341
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Corey Seager
- Sinker (34% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 328 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (14% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (10% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (7% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (2% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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9 NL Nicky Lopez LHB .288
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nicky Lopez
- Sinker (34% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (14% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (10% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (7% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (2% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Manager comparison
AWAY · NYM
Lineup 5.3 R
Bunts 2.7 R
IBBs 1.6 R
HOME · TEX
Lineup 3.2 R
Bunts 4.4 R
IBBs 5.2 R
Bullpen availability
AWAY · NYM
- Available 6
- Limited 3
- Rest required 0
- Inactive 0
HOME · TEX
- Available 7
- Limited 1
- Rest required 0
- Inactive 1
Recent form
AWAY · NYM
3-7
L1
-1 run diff
LWWLLLLLWL
HOME · TEX
6-4
L1
+6 run diff
LWWLWWWWLL
Pitching & bullpen preview
Probable starters and each bullpen's availability load in the sections above — the Mets and Rangers staffs going in.
Once the game ends, a full pitching and bullpen breakdown appears here: starter lines, the relief sequence and each arm's role, pitch counts, and where the game turned.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. The pitching analysis describes how the game was pitched — the starter's line, the bullpen sequence and each arm's role (opener, bulk, setup, closer), pitch counts as a fatigue signal, and the leverage context where the game turned. Reliever roles are inferred from how the manager used each arm up to that date. It describes structure and constraints; it does not grade the manager.