September 23, 2026 · NL East
Milwaukee Brewers at Philadelphia Phillies
@
Probable starters
AWAY · MIL
HOME · PHI
Lineups
Lineups are usually announced ~90 minutes before first pitch. Check back soon.
Hitter season stats
Season-to-date lines for each hitter in the projected lineup, with a Marcel projection (Proj OPS). Season columns are 2026 to date; Proj is a forward-looking estimate, not a result.
AWAY · MIL Projected · top 9 by AB
| BATTER | 2026 SEASON | PROJ OPS | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | HR | RBI | K | ||
| 1 Brice Turang 2B · L | .264 | .365 | .438 | .803 | 19 | 93 | 164 | .730 |
| 2 William Contreras C · R | .271 | .342 | .423 | .765 | 18 | 88 | 90 | .751 |
| 3 Jackson Chourio LF · R | .285 | .344 | .481 | .825 | 24 | 70 | 130 | .766 |
| 4 Jake Bauers 1B · L | .269 | .397 | .497 | .894 | 26 | 83 | 143 | .714 |
| 5 Garrett Mitchell CF · L | .266 | .358 | .427 | .785 | 11 | 65 | 159 | .726 |
| 6 Christian Yelich DH · L | .237 | .314 | .377 | .691 | 11 | 57 | 129 | .739 |
| 7 Joey Ortiz SS · R | .267 | .326 | .403 | .729 | 9 | 46 | 78 | .707 |
| 8 Sal Frelick RF · L | .234 | .297 | .322 | .619 | 4 | 39 | 38 | .731 |
| 9 David Hamilton 3B · L | .240 | .308 | .329 | .637 | 4 | 26 | 83 | .714 |
HOME · PHI Projected · top 9 by AB
| BATTER | 2026 SEASON | PROJ OPS | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | HR | RBI | K | ||
| 1 Trea Turner SS · R | .241 | .299 | .382 | .681 | 19 | 58 | 142 | .738 |
| 2 Luis Arraez 2B · L | .313 | .348 | .424 | .772 | 6 | 64 | 28 | .734 |
| 3 Kyle Schwarber DH · L | .234 | .355 | .512 | .867 | 45 | 95 | 216 | .764 |
| 4 Bryce Harper 1B · L | .271 | .382 | .491 | .873 | 28 | 85 | 144 | .759 |
| 5 Alec Bohm 3B · R | .253 | .317 | .390 | .707 | 15 | 87 | 85 | .730 |
| 6 Bryson Stott 2B · L | .248 | .324 | .387 | .711 | 10 | 65 | 99 | .722 |
| 7 Brandon Marsh LF · L | .260 | .304 | .405 | .709 | 17 | 58 | 138 | .741 |
| 8 Justin Crawford CF · L | .265 | .312 | .358 | .670 | 3 | 41 | 78 | .750 |
| 9 J.T. Realmuto C · R | .213 | .289 | .342 | .631 | 11 | 49 | 96 | .710 |
Pitcher vs. lineup projection
Projected expected wOBA for each probable starter against the opposing lineup, by batting order. A season-to-date matchup read — forward-looking, not a result.
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1 TT Trea Turner RHB .318
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
- Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 491 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (37% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
2 LA Luis Arraez LHB .297
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Arraez
- Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 713 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (37% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
3 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .369
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
- Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 609 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (37% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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4 BH Bryce Harper LHB .395
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
- Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .407 xwOBA over 456 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (37% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .396 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
-
5 AB Alec Bohm RHB .322
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
- Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 508 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (37% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
6 BS Bryson Stott LHB .328
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
- Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 571 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (37% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
7 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .317
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
- Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 479 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (37% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
8 JC Justin Crawford LHB .310
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
- Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (37% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
9 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .310
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
- Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 428 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (37% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
1 BT Brice Turang LHB .316
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brice Turang
- Knuckle Curve (33% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 579 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (19% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (14% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (8% usage) projects to .399 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
-
2 WC William Contreras RHB .322
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. William Contreras
- Knuckle Curve (33% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 515 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (19% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 401 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (14% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (8% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
3 JC Jackson Chourio SH .311
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Chourio
- Knuckle Curve (33% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 443 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (19% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 326 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (14% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (8% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
4 JB Jake Bauers LHB .333
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Bauers
- Knuckle Curve (33% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 331 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (19% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (14% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (8% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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5 GM Garrett Mitchell LHB .323
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Garrett Mitchell
- Knuckle Curve (33% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (19% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (14% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (8% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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6 CY Christian Yelich LHB .314
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Yelich
- Knuckle Curve (33% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 406 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (19% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (14% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (8% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
-
7 JO Joey Ortiz RHB .304
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joey Ortiz
- Knuckle Curve (33% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 433 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (19% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (14% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (8% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 SF Sal Frelick LHB .305
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Frelick
- Knuckle Curve (33% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 527 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (19% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (14% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (8% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 DH David Hamilton LHB .294
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. David Hamilton
- Knuckle Curve (33% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (19% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (14% usage) projects to .236 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (8% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Manager comparison
AWAY · MIL
Lineup 2.7 R
Bunts 4.7 R
IBBs 5.3 R
HOME · PHI
Lineup 2.8 R
Bunts 2.4 R
IBBs 1.3 R
Interim
Bullpen availability
AWAY · MIL
- Available 4
- Limited 3
- Rest required 0
- Inactive 1
HOME · PHI
- Available 5
- Limited 4
- Rest required 0
- Inactive 1
Recent form
AWAY · MIL
8-2
W3
+32 run diff
WWWLWWLWWW
HOME · PHI
4-6
W1
-9 run diff
WLLWWLWLLL
Pitching & bullpen preview
Probable starters and each bullpen's availability load in the sections above — the Brewers and Phillies staffs going in.
Once the game ends, a full pitching and bullpen breakdown appears here: starter lines, the relief sequence and each arm's role, pitch counts, and where the game turned.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. The pitching analysis describes how the game was pitched — the starter's line, the bullpen sequence and each arm's role (opener, bulk, setup, closer), pitch counts as a fatigue signal, and the leverage context where the game turned. Reliever roles are inferred from how the manager used each arm up to that date. It describes structure and constraints; it does not grade the manager.