September 22, 2026 · NL Cent
Miami Marlins at Chicago Cubs
@
Probable starters
AWAY · MIA
HOME
TBD
Lineups
Lineups are usually announced ~90 minutes before first pitch. Check back soon.
Hitter season stats
Season-to-date lines for each hitter in the projected lineup, with a Marcel projection (Proj OPS). Season columns are 2026 to date; Proj is a forward-looking estimate, not a result.
AWAY · MIA Projected · top 9 by AB
| BATTER | 2026 SEASON | PROJ OPS | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | HR | RBI | K | ||
| 1 Otto Lopez SS · R | .305 | .348 | .442 | .790 | 11 | 71 | 87 | .719 |
| 2 Xavier Edwards 2B · S | .280 | .360 | .371 | .731 | 6 | 52 | 83 | .731 |
| 3 Jakob Marsee CF · L | .230 | .349 | .359 | .708 | 11 | 39 | 122 | .746 |
| 4 Kyle Stowers 1B · L | .237 | .328 | .445 | .773 | 19 | 61 | 159 | .739 |
| 5 Javier Sanoja 3B · R | .291 | .330 | .454 | .784 | 10 | 67 | 37 | .736 |
| 6 Heriberto Hernández LF · R | .228 | .313 | .440 | .753 | 24 | 64 | 130 | .739 |
| 7 Joe Mack C · L | .231 | .278 | .395 | .673 | 13 | 48 | 82 | .746 |
| 8 Griffin Conine RF · L | .256 | .350 | .481 | .831 | 17 | 39 | 90 | .722 |
| 9 Agustín Ramírez DH · R | .235 | .323 | .368 | .691 | 5 | 23 | 57 | .734 |
HOME · CHC Projected · top 9 by AB
| BATTER | 2026 SEASON | PROJ OPS | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | HR | RBI | K | ||
| 1 Nico Hoerner 2B · R | .265 | .317 | .355 | .672 | 8 | 71 | 56 | .723 |
| 2 Pete Crow-Armstrong CF · L | .280 | .371 | .578 | .949 | 45 | 107 | 182 | .744 |
| 3 Alex Bregman 3B · R | .262 | .352 | .452 | .804 | 26 | 89 | 101 | .738 |
| 4 Michael Busch 1B · L | .239 | .350 | .396 | .746 | 20 | 77 | 159 | .748 |
| 5 Seiya Suzuki RF · R | .267 | .365 | .470 | .835 | 25 | 85 | 149 | .747 |
| 6 Ian Happ LF · S | .221 | .331 | .418 | .749 | 24 | 67 | 183 | .732 |
| 7 Dansby Swanson SS · R | .220 | .303 | .412 | .715 | 19 | 67 | 107 | .713 |
| 8 Carson Kelly C · R | .264 | .344 | .386 | .730 | 10 | 58 | 66 | .712 |
| 9 Michael Conforto DH · L | .245 | .339 | .482 | .821 | 15 | 44 | 79 | .706 |
Pitcher vs. lineup projection
Projected expected wOBA for each probable starter against the opposing lineup, by batting order. A season-to-date matchup read — forward-looking, not a result.
-
1 NH Nico Hoerner RHB .310
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nico Hoerner
- Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 582 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (24% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (14% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (10% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (2% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 443 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
2 PC Pete Crow-Armstrong LHB .328
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Crow-Armstrong
- Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 517 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (24% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (14% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (10% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (2% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
-
3 AB Alex Bregman RHB .306
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Bregman
- Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 561 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (24% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (14% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (10% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (2% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 424 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
-
4 MB Michael Busch LHB .325
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Busch
- Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 606 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (24% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (14% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (10% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (2% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
-
5 SS Seiya Suzuki RHB .316
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Seiya Suzuki
- Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 491 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (24% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 301 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (14% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (10% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (2% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 363 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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6 IH Ian Happ SH .305
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ian Happ
- Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 619 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (24% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (14% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (10% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (2% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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7 DS Dansby Swanson RHB .302
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dansby Swanson
- Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 484 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (24% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (14% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (10% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (2% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 314 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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8 CK Carson Kelly RHB .296
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Kelly
- Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 341 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (24% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (14% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (10% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (2% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
9 MC Michael Conforto LHB .314
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Conforto
- Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 444 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (24% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (14% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (10% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (2% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Manager comparison
AWAY · MIA
Lineup 4.0 R
Bunts 3.8 R
IBBs 1.4 R
HOME · CHC
Lineup 3.9 R
Bunts 2.0 R
IBBs 1.8 R
Bullpen availability
AWAY · MIA
- Available 8
- Limited 1
- Rest required 0
- Inactive 0
HOME · CHC
- Available 4
- Limited 1
- Rest required 0
- Inactive 0
Recent form
AWAY · MIA
4-6
L3
-11 run diff
LLLWWLWWLL
HOME · CHC
6-4
W2
+22 run diff
WWLWLWLWWL
Season series: 1-2 with MIA listed first across 3 prior meetings.
Pitching & bullpen preview
Probable starters and each bullpen's availability load in the sections above — the Marlins and Cubs staffs going in.
Once the game ends, a full pitching and bullpen breakdown appears here: starter lines, the relief sequence and each arm's role, pitch counts, and where the game turned.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. The pitching analysis describes how the game was pitched — the starter's line, the bullpen sequence and each arm's role (opener, bulk, setup, closer), pitch counts as a fatigue signal, and the leverage context where the game turned. Reliever roles are inferred from how the manager used each arm up to that date. It describes structure and constraints; it does not grade the manager.