August 8, 2026 · NL Cent
New York Mets at Pittsburgh Pirates
@
Probable starters
AWAY · NYM
HOME · PIT
Lineups
Lineups are usually announced ~90 minutes before first pitch. Check back soon.
Hitter season stats
Season-to-date lines for each hitter in the projected lineup, with a Marcel projection (Proj OPS). Season columns are 2026 to date; Proj is a forward-looking estimate, not a result.
AWAY · NYM Projected · top 9 by AB
| BATTER | 2026 SEASON | PROJ OPS | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | HR | RBI | K | ||
| 1 Bo Bichette 3B · R | .257 | .301 | .370 | .671 | 11 | 56 | 93 | .742 |
| 2 Carson Benge RF · L | .267 | .327 | .410 | .737 | 13 | 44 | 101 | .746 |
| 3 Marcus Semien 2B · R | .214 | .274 | .359 | .633 | 13 | 37 | 83 | .709 |
| 4 Brett Baty 3B · L | .219 | .290 | .330 | .620 | 7 | 34 | 99 | .725 |
| 5 A.J. Ewing CF · L | .262 | .328 | .399 | .727 | 7 | 28 | 78 | .755 |
| 6 Francisco Alvarez C · R | .251 | .338 | .431 | .769 | 12 | 28 | 79 | .746 |
| 7 Francisco Lindor SS · S | .230 | .311 | .422 | .733 | 10 | 28 | 51 | .749 |
| 8 Luis Torrens C · R | .234 | .300 | .359 | .659 | 4 | 27 | 42 | .708 |
| 9 Jared Young 1B · L | .253 | .336 | .430 | .766 | 7 | 22 | 41 | .716 |
HOME · PIT Projected · top 9 by AB
| BATTER | 2026 SEASON | PROJ OPS | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | HR | RBI | K | ||
| 1 Bryan Reynolds LF · S | .266 | .377 | .441 | .818 | 15 | 63 | 125 | .730 |
| 2 Brandon Lowe 2B · L | .255 | .321 | .486 | .807 | 24 | 72 | 134 | .730 |
| 3 Nick Gonzales 3B · R | .309 | .362 | .399 | .761 | 6 | 50 | 79 | .719 |
| 4 Jake Mangum CF · S | .298 | .352 | .374 | .726 | 3 | 24 | 61 | .715 |
| 5 Spencer Horwitz 1B · L | .271 | .375 | .439 | .814 | 10 | 37 | 45 | .737 |
| 6 Jared Triolo SS · R | .239 | .316 | .304 | .620 | 1 | 20 | 56 | .712 |
| 7 Henry Davis C · R | .170 | .268 | .315 | .583 | 8 | 30 | 48 | .707 |
| 8 Esmerlyn Valdez RF · R | .248 | .364 | .595 | .959 | 14 | 38 | 68 | .750 |
| 9 Endy Rodríguez C · S | .269 | .376 | .470 | .846 | 7 | 20 | 41 | .724 |
Pitcher vs. lineup projection
Projected expected wOBA for each probable starter against the opposing lineup, by batting order. A season-to-date matchup read — forward-looking, not a result.
-
1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .324
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
- Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 327 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (18% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (18% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (4% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
-
2 CB Carson Benge LHB .328
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
- Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (18% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (18% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (4% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
3 MS Marcus Semien RHB .303
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
- Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 495 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (18% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (18% usage) projects to .245 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (4% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
4 BB Brett Baty LHB .315
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
- Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 340 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (18% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (18% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (4% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
-
5 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .319
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
- Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (18% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (18% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (4% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
6 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .324
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
- Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (18% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (18% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (4% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
-
7 FL Francisco Lindor SH .330
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Lindor
- Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 560 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (18% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (18% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (4% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
-
8 LT Luis Torrens RHB .311
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Torrens
- Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (18% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (18% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (4% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
9 JY Jared Young LHB .327
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Young
- Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (18% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (18% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (4% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Manager comparison
AWAY · NYM
Lineup 4.3 R
Bunts 1.9 R
IBBs 1.6 R
HOME · PIT
Lineup 4.0 R
Bunts 0.6 R
IBBs 2.8 R
Bullpen availability
AWAY · NYM
- Available 5
- Limited 2
- Rest required 0
- Inactive 0
HOME · PIT
- Available 8
- Limited 1
- Rest required 0
- Inactive 0
Recent form
AWAY · NYM
5-4
W3
+5 run diff
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HOME · PIT
2-8
L3
-17 run diff
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Pitching & bullpen preview
Probable starters and each bullpen's availability load in the sections above — the Mets and Pirates staffs going in.
Once the game ends, a full pitching and bullpen breakdown appears here: starter lines, the relief sequence and each arm's role, pitch counts, and where the game turned.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. The pitching analysis describes how the game was pitched — the starter's line, the bullpen sequence and each arm's role (opener, bulk, setup, closer), pitch counts as a fatigue signal, and the leverage context where the game turned. Reliever roles are inferred from how the manager used each arm up to that date. It describes structure and constraints; it does not grade the manager.