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Pitcher

Xzavion Curry

Swingman
Model projection · strikeout prop
6.3%
6.3% against a 57.7% break-even. Over 3.5 Ks, tonight vs. BAL. Confidence low.
ERA
5.14
FIP
–
IP
21.0
W-L
0-0
WHIP
1.43
K%
16.3
BB%
9.8
GB%
–
K/9
6.4
HR/9
2.6

Tonight's Matchup

vs. Orioles · pregame

Projected xwOBA vs. Orioles current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) — season profile, not tonight's posted lineup · lineup avg .317

  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 561 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 344 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .359
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .404 xwOBA over 537 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 319 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .393 xwOBA over 447 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 LT Leody Taveras SH .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 400 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 CM Coby Mayo RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 SB Samuel Basallo LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samuel Basallo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CC Colton Cowser LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 389 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 JH Jackson Holliday LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Holliday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 360 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 DB Dylan Beavers LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Beavers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JJ Jeremiah Jackson RHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremiah Jackson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (10% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
▸ Full season matchup breakdown → · game preview

Four-Seam Fastball

FF · lead pitch

38% of pitches · .324 xwOBA allowed · 103 BIP · where it goes, what it costs

Pitcher Locations
where he throws it · catcher’s view
2%5%3%4%1%3%7%6%9%2%1%8%13%11%6%0%3%2%4%0%0%0%3%5%3%
Rare 0% · Common 10% · Very common 20%+
xwOBA Allowed
damage done by zone · all batters
.689.944.258.797.000.092.347.095.132.021–.150.199.369.401–.000.408.446–––.475.699.694
Cold .200 · Avg .310 · Hot .500+
Expected Damage
locations × damage zones
.011.046.007.029.000.002.023.006.012.000–.012.025.041.024–.000.009.019–––.016.036.021
Low risk · Average · High-risk zone
Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) has allowed .324 xwOBA over 103 balls in play — his most-used pitch.

Arsenal

usage × whiff, ranked

6 pitch types · 987-pitch sample · 2026/2025/2024 blend, weighted 4/3/1

Four-Seam Fastball FF
38% usage · 10% whiff · .324 xwOBA · 90.7 mph
Slider SL
32% usage · 16% whiff · .302 xwOBA · 83.9 mph
Curveball CU
13% usage · 9% whiff · .354 xwOBA · 73.2 mph
Splitter FS
10% usage · 41% whiff · .132 xwOBA · 84.0 mph
Sinker SI
6% usage · .434 xwOBA · 89.5 mph
Unknown UN
1% usage
Whiff% Trend
last 8 outings · by pitch · min 5 swings per point
01020307/87/107/187/207/318/68/88/27
Four-Seam FastballSliderCurveball
Hand Splits
K% + xwOBA allowed by batter side · 2026/2025/2024 blend, weighted 4/3/1
SplitK%xwOBASample
vs. LHB14.4 .295 132
vs. RHB15.1 .325 133
Live · client-hydrated

Market lines

current pick’em lines by book · updates through the day

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Live · client-hydrated

DFS picks

today’s picks for this pitcher, probability-sorted · graded nightly

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