Cincinnati Reds at Washington Nationals Preview — August 7, 2026

Probable starters

AWAY

TBD

HOME · WSH

Cade Cavalli

Lineups

Lineups are usually announced ~90 minutes before first pitch. Check back soon.

Hitter season stats

Season-to-date lines for each hitter in the projected lineup, with a Marcel projection (Proj OPS). Season columns are 2026 to date; Proj is a forward-looking estimate, not a result.

AWAY · CIN Projected · top 9 by AB

BATTER	2026 SEASON							PROJ OPS
BATTER	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	HR	RBI	K	PROJ OPS
1 Sal Stewart 1B · R	.257	.336	.484	.820	25	87	109	.753
2 Elly De La Cruz SS · S	.276	.356	.501	.857	19	53	115	.761
3 JJ Bleday LF · L	.230	.344	.470	.814	20	47	77	.725
4 Eugenio Suárez DH · R	.202	.281	.387	.668	14	40	123	.728
5 Matt McLain 2B · R	.190	.289	.331	.620	9	27	91	.729
6 Tyler Stephenson C · R	.252	.337	.420	.757	10	33	79	.726
7 TJ Friedl CF · L	.165	.251	.248	.499	3	11	54	.728
8 Noelvi Marte RF · R	.197	.239	.341	.580	6	15	45	.737
9 Dane Myers CF · R	.263	.362	.363	.725	3	17	54	.708

HOME · WSH Projected · top 9 by AB

BATTER	2026 SEASON							PROJ OPS
BATTER	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	HR	RBI	K	PROJ OPS
1 Daylen Lile LF · L	.242	.294	.411	.705	14	56	89	.759
2 CJ Abrams SS · L	.287	.362	.551	.913	28	88	110	.743
3 Nasim Nuñez 2B · S	.233	.317	.272	.589	1	33	79	.735
4 Jacob Young CF · R	.242	.310	.397	.707	9	39	60	.707
5 Keibert Ruiz C · S	.270	.307	.439	.746	7	38	31	.706
6 Dylan Crews RF · R	.221	.300	.371	.671	9	25	62	.731
7 Jorbit Vivas 3B · L	.236	.324	.327	.651	3	18	34	.733
8 José Tena DH · L	.235	.304	.382	.686	5	20	66	.731
9 Brady House 3B · R	.228	.282	.401	.683	8	27	62	.733

Pitcher vs. lineup projection

Projected expected wOBA for each probable starter against the opposing lineup, by batting order. A season-to-date matchup read — forward-looking, not a result.

WSH starter vs Reds lineup

Cade Cavalli (RHP)

Lineup avg xwOBA .318

1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .331
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
- Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (4% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
2 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .339
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
- Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 577 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (4% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
3 JB JJ Bleday LHB .326
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
- Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 397 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (4% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
4 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .318
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
- Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 500 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (4% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
5 MM Matt McLain RHB .318
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
- Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (4% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
6 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .314
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
- Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 337 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .238 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (4% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
7 TF TJ Friedl LHB .307
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Friedl
- Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 449 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .238 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (4% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
8 NM Noelvi Marte RHB .296
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Noelvi Marte
- Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .245 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (4% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
9 DM Dane Myers RHB .317
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dane Myers
- Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (4% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.

Cade Cavalli vs Reds: full season matchup breakdown →

Manager comparison

AWAY · CIN

Terry Francona

Lineup 2.3 R Bunts 2.0 R IBBs 3.4 R

HOME · WSH

Blake Butera

Lineup 3.3 R Bunts 2.5 R IBBs 1.9 R

Bullpen availability

AWAY · CIN

Available 6
Limited 2
Rest required 0
Inactive 1

HOME · WSH

Available 6
Limited 2
Rest required 0
Inactive 0

Recent form

AWAY · CIN

7-3 W4 +6 run diff

WWWWLWWLLW

HOME · WSH

2-8 L1 -19 run diff

LWLLLLLLLW

Pitching & bullpen preview

Probable starters and each bullpen's availability load in the sections above — the Reds and Nationals staffs going in.

Once the game ends, a full pitching and bullpen breakdown appears here: starter lines, the relief sequence and each arm's role, pitch counts, and where the game turned.

Keep reading

How RunsLeft analyzes games

Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. The pitching analysis describes how the game was pitched — the starter's line, the bullpen sequence and each arm's role (opener, bulk, setup, closer), pitch counts as a fatigue signal, and the leverage context where the game turned. Reliever roles are inferred from how the manager used each arm up to that date. It describes structure and constraints; it does not grade the manager.

Read the full methodology.