August 7, 2026 · AL West
Baltimore Orioles at Texas Rangers
@
Probable starters
AWAY · BAL
HOME · TEX
Lineups
Lineups are usually announced ~90 minutes before first pitch. Check back soon.
Hitter season stats
Season-to-date lines for each hitter in the projected lineup, with a Marcel projection (Proj OPS). Season columns are 2026 to date; Proj is a forward-looking estimate, not a result.
AWAY · BAL Projected · top 9 by AB
| BATTER | 2026 SEASON | PROJ OPS | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | HR | RBI | K | ||
| 1 Gunnar Henderson SS · L | .218 | .297 | .393 | .690 | 18 | 47 | 119 | .776 |
| 2 Pete Alonso 1B · R | .249 | .343 | .458 | .801 | 23 | 71 | 124 | .753 |
| 3 Leody Taveras CF · S | .220 | .303 | .347 | .650 | 6 | 41 | 87 | .712 |
| 4 Coby Mayo 3B · R | .205 | .270 | .428 | .698 | 15 | 41 | 98 | .734 |
| 5 Colton Cowser CF · L | .203 | .310 | .319 | .629 | 8 | 28 | 82 | .729 |
| 6 Jeremiah Jackson 2B · R | .240 | .266 | .380 | .646 | 7 | 39 | 44 | .736 |
| 7 Tyler O'Neill RF · R | .219 | .301 | .406 | .707 | 9 | 20 | 58 | .725 |
| 8 Dylan Beavers RF · L | .244 | .328 | .344 | .672 | 2 | 18 | 50 | .744 |
| 9 Carlos Narváez C · R | .182 | .258 | .267 | .525 | 3 | 10 | 68 | .729 |
HOME · TEX Projected · top 9 by AB
| BATTER | 2026 SEASON | PROJ OPS | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | HR | RBI | K | ||
| 1 Brandon Nimmo RF · L | .274 | .342 | .445 | .787 | 12 | 43 | 99 | .727 |
| 2 Jake Burger 1B · R | .238 | .297 | .421 | .718 | 19 | 66 | 119 | .727 |
| 3 Ezequiel Duran SS · R | .276 | .328 | .459 | .787 | 13 | 63 | 93 | .715 |
| 4 Joc Pederson DH · L | .252 | .340 | .500 | .840 | 20 | 42 | 80 | .720 |
| 5 Evan Carter CF · L | .199 | .313 | .335 | .648 | 8 | 30 | 75 | .747 |
| 6 Wyatt Langford LF · R | .265 | .316 | .490 | .806 | 13 | 31 | 63 | .752 |
| 7 Corey Seager SS · L | .201 | .310 | .382 | .692 | 10 | 25 | 64 | .763 |
| 8 Alejandro Osuna LF · L | .255 | .347 | .297 | .644 | 1 | 24 | 32 | .739 |
| 9 Nicky Lopez 2B · L | .282 | .323 | .316 | .639 | 1 | 19 | 31 | .698 |
Pitcher vs. lineup projection
Projected expected wOBA for each probable starter against the opposing lineup, by batting order. A season-to-date matchup read — forward-looking, not a result.
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1 BN Brandon Nimmo LHB .331
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Nimmo
- Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 602 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (4% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
-
2 JB Jake Burger RHB .309
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Burger
- Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 315 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (4% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
3 ED Ezequiel Duran RHB .296
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Duran
- Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (4% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
-
4 JP Joc Pederson LHB .324
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joc Pederson
- Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 328 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (4% usage) projects to .397 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
-
5 EC Evan Carter LHB .303
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Evan Carter
- Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (4% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
6 WL Wyatt Langford RHB .311
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wyatt Langford
- Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 407 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (4% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
7 CS Corey Seager LHB .355
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Corey Seager
- Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (4% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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8 AO Alejandro Osuna LHB .312
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alejandro Osuna
- Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (4% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
9 NL Nicky Lopez LHB .300
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nicky Lopez
- Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (4% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
-
1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .330
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
- Splitter (34% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 529 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (20% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 319 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
-
2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .332
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
- Splitter (34% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .400 xwOBA over 492 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (20% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 422 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
-
3 LT Leody Taveras SH .306
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
- Splitter (34% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 363 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (20% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
-
4 CM Coby Mayo RHB .310
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
- Splitter (34% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (20% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .397 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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5 CC Colton Cowser LHB .305
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
- Splitter (34% usage) projects to .235 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 360 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (20% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .391 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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6 JJ Jeremiah Jackson RHB .300
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremiah Jackson
- Splitter (34% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (20% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 TO Tyler O'Neill RHB .321
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler O'Neill
- Splitter (34% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (20% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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8 DB Dylan Beavers LHB .302
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Beavers
- Splitter (34% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (20% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 CN Carlos Narváez RHB .297
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carlos Narváez
- Splitter (34% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (20% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Manager comparison
AWAY · BAL
Lineup 2.4 R
Bunts 1.1 R
IBBs 2.8 R
HOME · TEX
Lineup 2.7 R
Bunts 2.1 R
IBBs 3.4 R
Bullpen availability
AWAY · BAL
- Available 5
- Limited 3
- Rest required 0
- Inactive 0
HOME · TEX
- Available 9
- Limited 0
- Rest required 0
- Inactive 0
Recent form
AWAY · BAL
5-5
L1
-20 run diff
LWWLLWWLWL
HOME · TEX
4-6
W2
-8 run diff
WWLLLLLLWW
Pitching & bullpen preview
Probable starters and each bullpen's availability load in the sections above — the Orioles and Rangers staffs going in.
Once the game ends, a full pitching and bullpen breakdown appears here: starter lines, the relief sequence and each arm's role, pitch counts, and where the game turned.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. The pitching analysis describes how the game was pitched — the starter's line, the bullpen sequence and each arm's role (opener, bulk, setup, closer), pitch counts as a fatigue signal, and the leverage context where the game turned. Reliever roles are inferred from how the manager used each arm up to that date. It describes structure and constraints; it does not grade the manager.