RunsLeft › Pitchers › Nathan Eovaldi
Starting Pitcher · Texas Rangers

Nathan Eovaldi

RHP · Throws Right · Age 36Starter
Model projection · strikeout prop
No graded line yet for tonight's start vs. Angels. The projection appears when the model has a line to price.
ERA
4.02
FIP
–
IP
105.1
W-L
9-7
WHIP
1.17
K%
25.2
BB%
5.5
GB%
–
K/9
9.4
HR/9
1.6
Drafted by the Los Angeles Dodgers in 2008 (round 11), he was signed by the Texas Rangers in free agency in December 2024. He made his MLB debut on August 6, 2011.Facts: MLB StatsAPI (people · transactions)

Tonight's Matchup

vs. Angels · pregame

Projected xwOBA vs. Angels current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) — season profile, not tonight's posted lineup · lineup avg .315

  1. 1 JA Jo Adell RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jo Adell
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 442 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 ZN Zach Neto RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach Neto
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 408 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 307 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 NS Nolan Schanuel SH .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Schanuel
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 501 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 MT Mike Trout RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Trout
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 413 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .394 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 JS Jorge Soler RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorge Soler
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 OP Oswald Peraza RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Oswald Peraza
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 LO Logan O'Hoppe RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Logan O'Hoppe
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 301 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 VG Vaughn Grissom RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vaughn Grissom
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JL Josh Lowe LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Lowe
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
▸ Full season matchup breakdown → · game preview

Splitter

FS · lead pitch

33% of pitches · .269 xwOBA allowed · 552 BIP · where it goes, what it costs

Pitcher Locations
where he throws it · catcher’s view
1%0%0%0%0%2%3%1%0%0%6%12%13%4%1%1%6%8%4%1%1%7%14%10%6%
Rare 0% · Common 10% · Very common 20%+
xwOBA Allowed
damage done by zone · all batters
–.866–––.659.253.484.049–.199.357.376.213.000.355.214.185.269.496.314.151.098.196.323
Cold .200 · Avg .310 · Hot .500+
Expected Damage
locations × damage zones
–.001–––.013.008.004.000–.012.044.047.008.000.005.012.015.010.006.003.010.014.019.018
Low risk · Average · High-risk zone
Splitter (33% usage) has allowed .269 xwOBA over 552 balls in play — his most-used pitch.

Arsenal

usage × whiff, ranked

6 pitch types · 6,139-pitch sample · 2026/2025/2024 blend, weighted 4/3/1

Splitter FS
33% usage · 33% whiff · .269 xwOBA · 88.5 mph
Four-Seam Fastball FF
21% usage · 15% whiff · .351 xwOBA · 94.6 mph
Curveball CU
19% usage · 39% whiff · .222 xwOBA · 76.5 mph
Cutter FC
19% usage · 22% whiff · .328 xwOBA · 90.6 mph
Sinker SI
6% usage · 6% whiff · .330 xwOBA · 93.6 mph
Slider SL
1% usage · 11% whiff · .349 xwOBA
Whiff% Trend
last 8 outings · by pitch · min 5 swings per point
010203040506070805/235/286/26/96/146/216/267/2
SplitterFour-Seam FastballCurveball
Hand Splits
K% + xwOBA allowed by batter side · 2026/2025/2024 blend, weighted 4/3/1
SplitK%xwOBASample
vs. LHB23.7 .313 839
vs. RHB26.2 .276 782
Live · client-hydrated

Market lines

current pick’em lines by book · updates through the day

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Live · client-hydrated

DFS picks

today’s picks for this pitcher, probability-sorted · graded nightly

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