June 23, 2026 · NL East
Philadelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals
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Probable starters
AWAY · PHI
HOME · WSH
Lineups
Lineups are usually announced ~90 minutes before first pitch. Check back soon.
Pitcher vs. lineup projection
Projected expected wOBA for each probable starter against the opposing lineup, by batting order. A season-to-date matchup read — forward-looking, not a result.
PHI starter vs Nationals lineup
Jesús Luzardo (LHP)
Lineup avg xwOBA .312
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1 DL Daylen Lile LHB .330
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daylen Lile
- Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (20% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (13% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
2 JW James Wood LHB .342
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. James Wood
- Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .406 xwOBA over 393 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (20% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (13% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 CA CJ Abrams LHB .313
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. CJ Abrams
- Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 424 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (20% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (13% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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4 LG Luis García Jr. LHB .334
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis García Jr.
- Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (20% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (13% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 JY Jacob Young RHB .294
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jacob Young
- Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 303 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (20% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (13% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 NN Nasim Nuñez SH .299
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nasim Nuñez
- Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (20% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (13% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 CM Curtis Mead RHB .301
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Curtis Mead
- Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (20% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (13% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 KR Keibert Ruiz SH .289
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Keibert Ruiz
- Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (20% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (13% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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9 JV Jorbit Vivas LHB .305
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorbit Vivas
- Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (20% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (13% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
WSH starter vs Phillies lineup
Zack Littell (RHP)
Lineup avg xwOBA .316
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1 TT Trea Turner RHB .301
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
- Slider (29% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 425 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (24% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
-
2 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .353
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
- Slider (29% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 527 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (24% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .439 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
3 AB Alec Bohm RHB .307
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
- Slider (29% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 422 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (24% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 314 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 BH Bryce Harper LHB .340
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
- Slider (29% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 383 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (24% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
-
5 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .310
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
- Slider (29% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 405 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (24% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
-
6 BS Bryson Stott LHB .309
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
- Slider (29% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 476 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (24% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 JC Justin Crawford LHB .295
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
- Slider (29% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (24% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .308
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
- Slider (29% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (24% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 ES Edmundo Sosa RHB .317
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Edmundo Sosa
- Slider (29% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (24% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Manager comparison
AWAY · PHI
Lineup 1.1 R
Bunts 0.4 R
IBBs 0.1 R
Interim
HOME · WSH
Lineup 2.6 R
Bunts 2.3 R
IBBs 1.9 R
Bullpen availability
AWAY · PHI
- Available 4
- Limited 3
- Rest required 1
- Inactive 1
HOME · WSH
- Available 9
- Limited 0
- Rest required 0
- Inactive 0
Recent form
AWAY · PHI
5-5
L1
+7 run diff
LWWLLWWLWL
HOME · WSH
6-4
W1
+8 run diff
WLWLLWWWWL
Season series: 0-1 with PHI listed first across 1 prior meeting.
Pitching & bullpen preview
Probable starters and each bullpen's availability load in the sections above — the Phillies and Nationals staffs going in.
Once the game ends, a full pitching and bullpen breakdown appears here: starter lines, the relief sequence and each arm's role, pitch counts, and where the game turned.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. The pitching analysis describes how the game was pitched — the starter's line, the bullpen sequence and each arm's role (opener, bulk, setup, closer), pitch counts as a fatigue signal, and the leverage context where the game turned. Reliever roles are inferred from how the manager used each arm up to that date. It describes structure and constraints; it does not grade the manager.