Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 James Wood DH
- 2 Curtis Mead 1B
- 3 Brady House 3B
- 4 CJ Abrams SS
- 5 Jacob Young CF
- 6 Daylen Lile LF
- 7 Joey Wiemer RF
- 8 Nasim Nuñez 2B
- 9 Keibert Ruiz C
- 1 Xavier Edwards 2B
- 2 Otto Lopez SS
- 3 Kyle Stowers RF
- 4 Christopher Morel 1B
- 5 Connor Norby DH
- 6 Javier Sanoja LF
- 7 Joe Mack C
- 8 Leo Jiménez 3B
- 9 Esteury Ruiz CF
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSH | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| MIA | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C / C+ entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 1-0 with WSH listed first across 1 prior meeting.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.13 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.92 vs actual lineup 4.79
- Player execution −1.79 R/G Players fell 1.79 short of the lineup's 4.79 projection (scored 3)
- Game variance −1.92 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Wood 0-for-5 batting 1st
- Manager lineup cost +0.03 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 2.81 vs actual lineup 2.78
- Player execution −0.78 R/G Players fell 0.78 short of the lineup's 2.78 projection (scored 2)
- Game variance −0.81 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Stowers 0-for-4 batting 3rd
Optimal lineups projected 4.9 – 2.8 — actual was 3 – 2.
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Otto Lopez extends hit streak to 11 gamesOtto Lopez (MIA) has a hit in 11 consecutive games — past the 10-game watermark.
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Clayton McCullough (MIA) has run 30 distinct starting lineups across 30 games this season — that's 100% turnover game-to-game. Most managers stay below 14 for the same span.
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Blake Butera (WSH) has run 29 distinct starting lineups across 30 games this season — that's 97% turnover game-to-game. Most managers stay below 14 for the same span.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.