Cleveland Guardians vs Kansas City Royals
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Steven Kwan CF
- 2 Chase DeLauter RF
- 3 José Ramírez 3B
- 4 Kyle Manzardo 1B
- 5 Rhys Hoskins DH
- 6 Daniel Schneemann SS
- 7 Travis Bazzana 2B
- 8 Angel Martínez LF
- 9 Bo Naylor C
- 1 Maikel Garcia 3B
- 2 Bobby Witt Jr. SS
- 3 Vinnie Pasquantino 1B
- 4 Salvador Perez DH
- 5 Carter Jensen C
- 6 Jac Caglianone RF
- 7 Isaac Collins LF
- 8 Michael Massey 2B
- 9 Kyle Isbel CF
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLE | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| KC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C+ / C entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 3-2 with CLE listed first across 5 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.01 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.04 vs actual lineup 4.03
- Player execution −1.03 R/G Players fell 1.03 short of the lineup's 4.03 projection (scored 3)
- Game variance −1.04 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Kwan 0-for-4 batting 1st
- Manager lineup cost +0.01 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.44 vs actual lineup 3.44
- Player execution +1.56 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 3.44 projection by 1.56 (scored 5)
- Game variance +1.56 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Collins HR from the 7-hole
Optimal lineups projected 4.0 – 3.4 — actual was 3 – 5.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.