New York Mets vs Colorado Rockies
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Juan Soto LF
- 2 Bo Bichette SS
- 3 MJ Melendez RF
- 4 Mark Vientos 1B
- 5 Brett Baty 3B
- 6 Marcus Semien 2B
- 7 Carson Benge CF
- 8 Francisco Alvarez DH
- 9 Luis Torrens C
- 1 Mickey Moniak LF
- 2 Tyler Freeman DH
- 3 TJ Rumfield 1B
- 4 Hunter Goodman C
- 5 Willi Castro 2B
- 6 Jordan Beck RF
- 7 Kyle Karros 3B
- 8 Ezequiel Tovar SS
- 9 Brenton Doyle CF
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYM | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| COL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade D+ / C entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 2-4 with NYM listed first across 8 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost −0.04 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.59 vs actual lineup 3.63
- Player execution +0.37 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 3.63 projection by 0.37 (scored 4)
- Game variance +0.41 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Benge HR from the 7-hole
- Manager lineup cost −0.08 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.73 vs actual lineup 4.81
- Player execution −2.81 R/G Players fell 2.81 short of the lineup's 4.81 projection (scored 2)
- Game variance −2.73 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Freeman 0-for-3 batting 2nd
Optimal lineups projected 3.6 – 4.7 — actual was 4 – 2.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.