Detroit Tigers vs Atlanta Braves
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Kevin McGonigle SS
- 2 Gleyber Torres 2B
- 3 Colt Keith DH
- 4 Riley Greene LF
- 5 Spencer Torkelson 1B
- 6 Kerry Carpenter RF
- 7 Matt Vierling CF
- 8 Hao-Yu Lee 3B
- 9 Jake Rogers C
- 1 Ronald Acuña RF
- 2 Drake Baldwin C
- 3 Ozzie Albies 2B
- 4 Matt Olson 1B
- 5 Austin Riley 3B
- 6 Mauricio Dubón LF
- 7 Kyle Farmer DH
- 8 Jorge Mateo SS
- 9 Eli White CF
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| ATL | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C- / C+ entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 1-2 with DET listed first across 3 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost −0.07 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 2.46 vs actual lineup 2.52
- Player execution +2.48 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 2.52 projection by 2.48 (scored 5)
- Game variance +2.54 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Greene 0-for-3 batting 4th
- Manager lineup cost +0.06 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.61 vs actual lineup 3.55
- Player execution −1.55 R/G Players fell 1.55 short of the lineup's 3.55 projection (scored 2)
- Game variance −1.61 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Olson 0-for-4 batting 4th
Optimal lineups projected 2.5 – 3.6 — actual was 5 – 2.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.