RunsLeft › Pitchers › Framber Valdez
Starting Pitcher · Detroit Tigers

Framber Valdez

LHP · Throws Left · Age 32Starter
Model projection · strikeout prop
No graded line yet for tonight's start vs. Royals. The projection appears when the model has a line to price.
ERA
4.35
FIP
–
IP
138.2
W-L
8-8
WHIP
1.40
K%
18.1
BB%
8.8
GB%
–
K/9
7.2
HR/9
0.8
He was signed by the Detroit Tigers in free agency in February 2026. He made his MLB debut on August 21, 2018.Facts: MLB StatsAPI (people · transactions)

Tonight's Matchup

vs. Royals · pregame

Projected xwOBA vs. Royals current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) — season profile, not tonight's posted lineup · lineup avg .316

  1. 1 SP Salvador Perez RHB .356
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Salvador Perez
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .418 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BW Bobby Witt Jr. RHB .356
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bobby Witt Jr.
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 309 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 JC Jac Caglianone LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jac Caglianone
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 CJ Carter Jensen LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carter Jensen
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 IC Isaac Collins SH .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Collins
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MM Michael Massey LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Massey
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 VP Vinnie Pasquantino LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vinnie Pasquantino
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 NL Nick Loftin RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Loftin
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 KI Kyle Isbel LHB .278
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Isbel
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
▸ Full season matchup breakdown → · game preview

Sinker

SI · lead pitch

45% of pitches · .365 xwOBA allowed · 967 BIP · where it goes, what it costs

Pitcher Locations
where he throws it · catcher’s view
0%1%1%2%1%1%4%7%6%4%5%12%16%12%5%2%4%4%2%1%3%4%4%2%0%
Rare 0% · Common 10% · Very common 20%+
xwOBA Allowed
damage done by zone · all batters
–.697.658.157.655.579.237.346.330.454.372.301.395.379.313.415.310.329.259.425.455.556.328.623–
Cold .200 · Avg .310 · Hot .500+
Expected Damage
locations × damage zones
–.006.009.003.009.006.008.023.018.017.019.036.061.045.016.007.011.013.005.003.011.023.011.010–
Low risk · Average · High-risk zone
Sinker (45% usage) has allowed .365 xwOBA over 967 balls in play — his most-used pitch.

Arsenal

usage × whiff, ranked

5 pitch types · 7,623-pitch sample · 2026/2025/2024 blend, weighted 4/3/1

Sinker SI
45% usage · 10% whiff · .365 xwOBA · 93.8 mph
Curveball CU
31% usage · 36% whiff · .242 xwOBA · 78.4 mph
Changeup CH
19% usage · 25% whiff · .296 xwOBA · 89.0 mph
Slider SL
4% usage · 37% whiff · .197 xwOBA · 85.9 mph
Four-Seam Fastball FF
1% usage · 15% whiff · .290 xwOBA · 94.8 mph
Whiff% Trend
last 8 outings · by pitch · min 5 swings per point
010203040506/166/226/277/27/98/18/68/17
SinkerCurveballChangeup
Hand Splits
K% + xwOBA allowed by batter side · 2026/2025/2024 blend, weighted 4/3/1
SplitK%xwOBASample
vs. LHB25.8 .269 389
vs. RHB20.2 .318 1,655
Live · client-hydrated

Market lines

current pick’em lines by book · updates through the day

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Live · client-hydrated

DFS picks

today’s picks for this pitcher, probability-sorted · graded nightly

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