RunsLeft › Pitchers › Framber Valdez
Starting Pitcher · Detroit Tigers

Framber Valdez

LHP · Throws Left · Age 32Starter
Model projection · strikeout prop
62.5%
62.5% against a 57.7% break-even. Over 4.5 Ks, tonight vs. ATH. Confidence high.
ERA
4.29
FIP
–
IP
100.2
W-L
4-6
WHIP
1.38
K%
17.6
BB%
8.1
GB%
–
K/9
7.0
HR/9
1.0
He was signed by the Detroit Tigers in free agency in February 2026. He made his MLB debut on August 21, 2018.Facts: MLB StatsAPI (people · transactions)

Tonight's Matchup

vs. Athletics · pregame

Projected xwOBA vs. Athletics current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) — season profile, not tonight's posted lineup · lineup avg .307

  1. 1 SL Shea Langeliers RHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Shea Langeliers
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 NK Nick Kurtz LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Kurtz
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 TS Tyler Soderstrom LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Soderstrom
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JM Jeff McNeil LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeff McNeil
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 LB Lawrence Butler LHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lawrence Butler
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 ZG Zack Gelof RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zack Gelof
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JW Jacob Wilson RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jacob Wilson
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CC Carlos Cortes LHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carlos Cortes
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 HB Henry Bolte RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Henry Bolte
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
▸ Full season matchup breakdown → · game preview

Sinker

SI · lead pitch

46% of pitches · .362 xwOBA allowed · 926 BIP · where it goes, what it costs

Pitcher Locations
where he throws it · catcher’s view
0%1%1%2%1%1%3%7%6%4%5%12%16%12%5%2%4%4%2%1%3%4%4%2%0%
Rare 0% · Common 10% · Very common 20%+
xwOBA Allowed
damage done by zone · all batters
–.697.642.187.639.579.303.350.324.466.372.281.390.373.313.415.323.325.259.425.455.545.304.623–
Cold .200 · Avg .310 · Hot .500+
Expected Damage
locations × damage zones
–.006.009.004.008.005.010.023.018.018.019.033.060.046.017.007.012.013.005.003.011.022.011.011–
Low risk · Average · High-risk zone
Sinker (46% usage) has allowed .362 xwOBA over 926 balls in play — his most-used pitch.

Arsenal

usage × whiff, ranked

5 pitch types · 7,254-pitch sample · 2026/2025/2024 blend, weighted 4/3/1

Sinker SI
46% usage · 11% whiff · .362 xwOBA · 93.9 mph
Curveball CU
31% usage · 36% whiff · .243 xwOBA · 78.6 mph
Changeup CH
19% usage · 25% whiff · .300 xwOBA · 89.1 mph
Slider SL
4% usage · 35% whiff · .182 xwOBA · 85.9 mph
Four-Seam Fastball FF
1% usage · 8% whiff · .410 xwOBA · 95.0 mph
Whiff% Trend
last 8 outings · by pitch · min 5 swings per point
010203040505/245/306/56/106/166/226/277/2
SinkerCurveballChangeup
Hand Splits
K% + xwOBA allowed by batter side · 2026/2025/2024 blend, weighted 4/3/1
SplitK%xwOBASample
vs. LHB25.4 .265 366
vs. RHB20.1 .320 1,571
Live · client-hydrated

Market lines

current pick’em lines by book · updates through the day

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Live · client-hydrated

DFS picks

today’s picks for this pitcher, probability-sorted · graded nightly

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