Colorado Rockies vs Cincinnati Reds
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Jordan Beck LF
- 2 Brenton Doyle CF
- 3 TJ Rumfield 1B
- 4 Hunter Goodman DH
- 5 Willi Castro 2B
- 6 Brett Sullivan C
- 7 Kyle Karros 3B
- 8 Ezequiel Tovar SS
- 9 Mickey Moniak RF
- 1 TJ Friedl CF
- 2 Matt McLain 2B
- 3 Elly De La Cruz SS
- 4 Sal Stewart 1B
- 5 Nathaniel Lowe DH
- 6 Spencer Steer RF
- 7 JJ Bleday LF
- 8 Jose Trevino C
- 9 Ke'Bryan Hayes 3B
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COL | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 13 |
| CIN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C / B- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 1-2 with COL listed first across 3 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.02 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.70 vs actual lineup 4.68
- Player execution +8.32 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.68 projection by 8.32 (scored 13)
- Game variance +8.30 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Beck 0-for-6 batting 1st
- Manager lineup cost −0.05 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.13 vs actual lineup 3.18
- Player execution −1.18 R/G Players fell 1.18 short of the lineup's 3.18 projection (scored 2)
- Game variance −1.13 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Cruz 0-for-3 batting 3rd
Optimal lineups projected 4.7 – 3.1 — actual was 13 – 2.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.