San Francisco Giants vs Philadelphia Phillies
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Jung Hoo Lee RF
- 2 Matt Chapman 3B
- 3 Luis Arraez 2B
- 4 Casey Schmitt DH
- 5 Rafael Devers 1B
- 6 Willy Adames SS
- 7 Heliot Ramos LF
- 8 Drew Gilbert CF
- 9 Patrick Bailey C
- 1 Trea Turner SS
- 2 Kyle Schwarber DH
- 3 Bryce Harper 1B
- 4 Adolis García RF
- 5 Brandon Marsh LF
- 6 Bryson Stott 2B
- 7 Alec Bohm 3B
- 8 Justin Crawford CF
- 9 Rafael Marchán C
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| PHI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade B- / C- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 1-3 with SF listed first across 5 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost −0.01 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.83 vs actual lineup 4.84
- Player execution −4.84 R/G Players fell 4.84 short of the lineup's 4.84 projection (scored 0)
- Game variance −4.83 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Lee 0-for-4 batting 1st
- Manager lineup cost +0.02 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.91 vs actual lineup 4.89
- Player execution +2.11 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.89 projection by 2.11 (scored 7)
- Game variance +2.09 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Schwarber 0-for-3 batting 2nd
Optimal lineups projected 4.8 – 4.9 — actual was 0 – 7.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.