Arizona Diamondbacks vs Milwaukee Brewers
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Ildemaro Vargas 1B
- 2 Ketel Marte 2B
- 3 Corbin Carroll RF
- 4 Lourdes Gurriel Jr. LF
- 5 Adrian Del Castillo DH
- 6 Jose Fernandez SS
- 7 Nolan Arenado 3B
- 8 Alek Thomas CF
- 9 James McCann C
- 1 Garrett Mitchell CF
- 2 William Contreras C
- 3 Brice Turang 2B
- 4 Tyler Black DH
- 5 Jake Bauers 1B
- 6 Brandon Lockridge LF
- 7 Sal Frelick RF
- 8 David Hamilton 3B
- 9 Joey Ortiz SS
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AZ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| MIL | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C- / B- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 1-2 with AZ listed first across 3 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.14 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.47 vs actual lineup 3.33
- Player execution −1.33 R/G Players fell 1.33 short of the lineup's 3.33 projection (scored 2)
- Game variance −1.47 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Jr. 0-for-4 batting 4th
- Manager lineup cost +0.07 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.70 vs actual lineup 4.64
- Player execution +8.36 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.64 projection by 8.36 (scored 13)
- Game variance +8.30 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Hamilton 2-for-5 from the 8-hole
Optimal lineups projected 3.5 – 4.7 — actual was 2 – 13.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.