RunsLeft › Pitchers › Shane Drohan
Starting Pitcher · Milwaukee Brewers

Shane Drohan

LHP · Throws Left · Age 27Starter
Model projection · strikeout prop
52.6%
52.6% against a 57.7% break-even. Over 4.5 Ks, tonight vs. ATL. Confidence medium.
ERA
3.86
FIP
–
IP
100.1
W-L
6-4
WHIP
1.25
K%
23.5
BB%
7.8
GB%
–
K/9
8.9
HR/9
0.8
Drafted by the Boston Red Sox in 2020 (round 5), he was acquired by the Milwaukee Brewers via trade from the Boston Red Sox in February 2026. He made his MLB debut on April 8, 2026.Facts: MLB StatsAPI (people · transactions)

Tonight's Matchup

vs. Braves · pregame

Projected xwOBA vs. Braves current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) — season profile, not tonight's posted lineup · lineup avg .322

  1. 1 MO Matt Olson LHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 631 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .402 xwOBA over 307 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 467 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .230 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 MH Michael Harris II LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 392 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 285 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AR Austin Riley RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 458 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 379 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 LT Lane Thomas RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lane Thomas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 RA Ronald Acuña Jr. RHB .350
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ronald Acuña Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 311 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .438 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 507 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
▸ Full season matchup breakdown → · game preview

Four-Seam Fastball

FF · lead pitch

30% of pitches · .219 xwOBA allowed · 108 BIP · where it goes, what it costs

Pitcher Locations
where he throws it · catcher’s view
2%3%5%5%1%4%7%8%6%3%11%13%13%6%2%2%2%2%0%0%1%1%1%0%0%
Rare 0% · Common 10% · Very common 20%+
xwOBA Allowed
damage done by zone · all batters
–.196.077.042.637.154.291.203.214.193.346.140.115.215.636–.888.252.000.180––.700––
Cold .200 · Avg .310 · Hot .500+
Expected Damage
locations × damage zones
–.006.004.002.008.006.021.017.012.006.038.019.015.013.013–.016.004.000.000––.006––
Low risk · Average · High-risk zone
Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) has allowed .219 xwOBA over 108 balls in play — his most-used pitch.

Arsenal

usage × whiff, ranked

6 pitch types · 1,568-pitch sample · 2026 season

Four-Seam Fastball FF
30% usage · 24% whiff · .219 xwOBA · 94.8 mph
Slider SL
20% usage · 35% whiff · .218 xwOBA · 86.1 mph
Sinker SI
19% usage · 11% whiff · .408 xwOBA · 94.7 mph
Curveball CU
13% usage · 28% whiff · .331 xwOBA · 80.2 mph
Cutter FC
13% usage · 14% whiff · .377 xwOBA · 90.5 mph
Changeup CH
5% usage · 42% whiff · .333 xwOBA · 85.3 mph
Whiff% Trend
last 8 outings · by pitch · min 5 swings per point
01020304050607/17/67/117/187/318/78/138/18
Four-Seam FastballSliderSinker
Hand Splits
K% + xwOBA allowed by batter side · 2026 season
SplitK%xwOBASample
vs. LHB22.4 .293 120
vs. RHB24.2 .297 272
Live · client-hydrated

Market lines

current pick’em lines by book · updates through the day

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Live · client-hydrated

DFS picks

today’s picks for this pitcher, probability-sorted · graded nightly

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