Atlanta Braves vs Washington Nationals
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Ronald Acuña Jr. RF
- 2 Drake Baldwin C
- 3 Matt Olson 1B
- 4 Austin Riley 3B
- 5 Ozzie Albies 2B
- 6 Michael Harris II CF
- 7 Dominic Smith DH
- 8 Jorge Mateo SS
- 9 Mike Yastrzemski LF
- 1 James Wood RF
- 2 Luis García Jr. 1B
- 3 Brady House 3B
- 4 CJ Abrams SS
- 5 Daylen Lile LF
- 6 Jacob Young CF
- 7 José Tena DH
- 8 Drew Millas C
- 9 Nasim Nuñez 2B
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 |
| WSH | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C+ / C entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 3-1 with ATL listed first across 4 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.18 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.49 vs actual lineup 4.31
- Player execution +4.69 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.31 projection by 4.69 (scored 9)
- Game variance +4.51 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Riley 0-for-4 batting 4th
- Manager lineup cost +0.04 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 2.44 vs actual lineup 2.39
- Player execution +1.61 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 2.39 projection by 1.61 (scored 4)
- Game variance +1.56 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Wood 0-for-4 batting 1st
Optimal lineups projected 4.5 – 2.4 — actual was 9 – 4.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.