Tampa Bay Rays vs Chicago White Sox
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Chandler Simpson LF
- 2 Junior Caminero 3B
- 3 Cedric Mullins CF
- 4 Yandy Díaz DH
- 5 Ryan Vilade 1B
- 6 Ben Williamson 2B
- 7 Jonny DeLuca RF
- 8 Nick Fortes C
- 9 Taylor Walls SS
- 1 Miguel Vargas 3B
- 2 Chase Meidroth 2B
- 3 Munetaka Murakami 1B
- 4 Everson Pereira RF
- 5 Edgar Quero C
- 6 Tanner Murray SS
- 7 Andrew Benintendi DH
- 8 Derek Hill CF
- 9 Sam Antonacci LF
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TB | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 |
| CWS | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade B- / D- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 3-0 with TB listed first across 3 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost −0.06 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.74 vs actual lineup 4.80
- Player execution +0.20 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.80 projection by 0.20 (scored 5)
- Game variance +0.26 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Simpson 0-for-6 batting 1st
- Manager lineup cost +0.04 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.90 vs actual lineup 3.86
- Player execution −0.86 R/G Players fell 0.86 short of the lineup's 3.86 projection (scored 3)
- Game variance −0.90 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Murakami 0-for-4 batting 3rd
Optimal lineups projected 4.7 – 3.9 — actual was 5 – 3.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.