RunsLeft › Pitchers › Sean Newcomb
Pitcher · Chicago White Sox

Sean Newcomb

LHP · Throws Left · Age 33Swingman
Model projection · strikeout prop
25.2%
25.2% against a 57.7% break-even. Over 1.5 Ks, tonight vs. NYM. Confidence low.
ERA
2.44
FIP
–
IP
70.0
W-L
1-3
WHIP
1.10
K%
22.6
BB%
9.5
GB%
–
K/9
8.2
HR/9
0.3
Drafted by the Los Angeles Angels in 2014 (round 1), he was signed by the Chicago White Sox in free agency in December 2025. He made his MLB debut on June 10, 2017.Facts: MLB StatsAPI (people · transactions)

Tonight's Matchup

vs. Mets · pregame

Projected xwOBA vs. Mets current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) — season profile, not tonight's posted lineup · lineup avg .324

  1. 1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 336 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (28% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CB Carson Benge LHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (28% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MS Marcus Semien RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 503 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (28% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 323 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 BB Brett Baty LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 350 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (28% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 2 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (28% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (28% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 FL Francisco Lindor SH .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Lindor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 582 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (28% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 JY Jared Young LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (28% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 LT Luis Torrens RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Torrens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (28% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
▸ Full season matchup breakdown → · game preview

Four-Seam Fastball

FF · lead pitch

33% of pitches · .273 xwOBA allowed · 205 BIP · where it goes, what it costs

Pitcher Locations
where he throws it · catcher’s view
0%2%4%4%4%2%5%9%9%4%5%12%14%9%6%2%2%2%1%0%1%1%1%0%0%
Rare 0% · Common 10% · Very common 20%+
xwOBA Allowed
damage done by zone · all batters
.126.508.173.104.469.262.148.244.163.281.513.301.224.300.233.699.260.314.368.698––.495––
Cold .200 · Avg .310 · Hot .500+
Expected Damage
locations × damage zones
.001.010.006.004.017.006.008.023.015.012.027.036.030.028.013.015.004.006.004.003––.004––
Low risk · Average · High-risk zone
Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) has allowed .273 xwOBA over 205 balls in play — his most-used pitch.

Arsenal

usage × whiff, ranked

7 pitch types · 2,869-pitch sample · 2026/2025/2024 blend, weighted 4/3/1

Four-Seam Fastball FF
33% usage · 23% whiff · .273 xwOBA · 94.6 mph
SV SV
28% usage · 29% whiff · .238 xwOBA · 82.7 mph
Sinker SI
22% usage · 7% whiff · .377 xwOBA · 93.3 mph
Cutter FC
8% usage · 13% whiff · .443 xwOBA
Changeup CH
5% usage · 14% whiff · .348 xwOBA · 86.6 mph
Curveball CU
4% usage · 19% whiff · .208 xwOBA · 80.7 mph
Unknown UN
1% usage
Whiff% Trend
last 8 outings · by pitch · min 5 swings per point
0102030405060707/308/58/88/98/118/148/168/19
Four-Seam FastballSVSinker
Hand Splits
K% + xwOBA allowed by batter side · 2026/2025/2024 blend, weighted 4/3/1
SplitK%xwOBASample
vs. LHB21.7 .315 242
vs. RHB23.6 .299 452
Live · client-hydrated

Market lines

current pick’em lines by book · updates through the day

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Live · client-hydrated

DFS picks

today’s picks for this pitcher, probability-sorted · graded nightly

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