Washington Nationals vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 James Wood RF
- 2 Luis García Jr. 1B
- 3 Brady House 3B
- 4 Daylen Lile LF
- 5 CJ Abrams SS
- 6 Jacob Young CF
- 7 Jorbit Vivas DH
- 8 Drew Millas C
- 9 Nasim Nuñez 2B
- 1 Jake Mangum RF
- 2 Nick Gonzales 3B
- 3 Oneil Cruz CF
- 4 Marcell Ozuna DH
- 5 Nick Yorke 1B
- 6 Brandon Lowe 2B
- 7 Joey Bart C
- 8 Konnor Griffin SS
- 9 Billy Cook LF
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSH | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 |
| PIT | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C / C- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 2-2 with WSH listed first across 4 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.03 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.51 vs actual lineup 3.48
- Player execution +4.52 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 3.48 projection by 4.52 (scored 8)
- Game variance +4.49 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Mead 0-for-3 batting 2nd
- Manager lineup cost +0.01 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.18 vs actual lineup 3.18
- Player execution +3.82 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 3.18 projection by 3.82 (scored 7)
- Game variance +3.82 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Griffin 2-for-5 from the 8-hole
Optimal lineups projected 3.5 – 3.2 — actual was 8 – 7.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.