Washington Nationals vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 James Wood RF
- 2 Luis García Jr. 1B
- 3 Brady House DH
- 4 Daylen Lile LF
- 5 CJ Abrams SS
- 6 Jacob Young CF
- 7 Jorbit Vivas 3B
- 8 Drew Millas C
- 9 Nasim Nuñez 2B
- 1 Oneil Cruz CF
- 2 Brandon Lowe 2B
- 3 Bryan Reynolds LF
- 4 Ryan O'Hearn RF
- 5 Marcell Ozuna DH
- 6 Nick Gonzales 3B
- 7 Spencer Horwitz 1B
- 8 Konnor Griffin SS
- 9 Joey Bart C
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSH | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| PIT | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C / C- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 2-2 with WSH listed first across 4 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.12 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.20 vs actual lineup 3.08
- Player execution +1.92 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 3.08 projection by 1.92 (scored 5)
- Game variance +1.80 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Lineup spots out of order vs season production
- Manager lineup cost +0.00 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.80 vs actual lineup 4.81
- Player execution −0.81 R/G Players fell 0.81 short of the lineup's 4.81 projection (scored 4)
- Game variance −0.80 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Cruz 0-for-5 batting 1st
Optimal lineups projected 3.2 – 4.8 — actual was 5 – 4.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.