San Francisco Giants vs Cincinnati Reds
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Willy Adames SS
- 2 Luis Arraez 2B
- 3 Matt Chapman 3B
- 4 Rafael Devers 1B
- 5 Casey Schmitt DH
- 6 Jung Hoo Lee RF
- 7 Heliot Ramos LF
- 8 Patrick Bailey C
- 9 Jared Oliva CF
- 1 Dane Myers CF
- 2 Matt McLain 2B
- 3 Elly De La Cruz SS
- 4 Sal Stewart 1B
- 5 Eugenio Suárez DH
- 6 Rece Hinds RF
- 7 Spencer Steer LF
- 8 Tyler Stephenson C
- 9 Ke'Bryan Hayes 3B
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| CIN | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade B- / B- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 1-2 with SF listed first across 3 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.03 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.81 vs actual lineup 4.78
- Player execution −3.78 R/G Players fell 3.78 short of the lineup's 4.78 projection (scored 1)
- Game variance −3.81 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Chapman 0-for-4 batting 3rd
- Manager lineup cost −0.06 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.11 vs actual lineup 3.17
- Player execution −1.17 R/G Players fell 1.17 short of the lineup's 3.17 projection (scored 2)
- Game variance −1.11 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Myers 0-for-3 batting 1st
Optimal lineups projected 4.8 – 3.1 — actual was 1 – 2.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.