RunsLeft › Pitchers › Brady Singer
Starting Pitcher · Cincinnati Reds

Brady Singer

RHP · Throws Right · Age 29Starter
Model projection · strikeout prop
30.2%
30.2% against a 57.7% break-even. Over 5.5 Ks, tonight vs. PHI. Confidence low.
ERA
5.03
FIP
–
IP
82.1
W-L
3-8
WHIP
1.54
K%
19.0
BB%
8.0
GB%
–
K/9
7.8
HR/9
2.2
Drafted by the Kansas City Royals in 2018 (round 1), he was acquired by the Cincinnati Reds via trade from the Kansas City Royals in November 2024. He made his MLB debut on July 25, 2020.Facts: MLB StatsAPI (people · transactions)

Tonight's Matchup

vs. Phillies · pregame

Projected xwOBA vs. Phillies current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) — season profile, not tonight's posted lineup · lineup avg .324

  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Sinker (43% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 310 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (8% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 440 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .361
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Sinker (43% usage) projects to .432 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (8% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 541 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 BH Bryce Harper LHB .354
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Sinker (43% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (8% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 398 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .398 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Sinker (43% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (8% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 420 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AB Alec Bohm RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
    • Sinker (43% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 329 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (8% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 442 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 BS Bryson Stott LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Sinker (43% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (8% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 499 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JC Justin Crawford LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Sinker (43% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (8% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Sinker (43% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (8% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 ES Edmundo Sosa RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Edmundo Sosa
    • Sinker (43% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (8% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
▸ Full season matchup breakdown → · game preview

Sinker

SI · lead pitch

43% of pitches · .358 xwOBA allowed · 817 BIP · where it goes, what it costs

Pitcher Locations
where he throws it · catcher’s view
1%2%2%2%0%5%6%6%4%2%6%12%15%12%8%1%2%3%3%2%0%1%3%2%2%
Rare 0% · Common 10% · Very common 20%+
xwOBA Allowed
damage done by zone · all batters
.512.193.297.677–.364.375.249.245.437.382.338.399.254.477.321.258.371.413.565–.659.588.420.691
Cold .200 · Avg .310 · Hot .500+
Expected Damage
locations × damage zones
.006.004.004.010–.018.023.016.010.010.022.040.058.029.036.003.005.010.012.010–.007.015.010.014
Low risk · Average · High-risk zone
Sinker (43% usage) has allowed .358 xwOBA over 817 balls in play — his most-used pitch.

Arsenal

usage × whiff, ranked

5 pitch types · 7,434-pitch sample · 2026/2025/2024 blend, weighted 4/3/1

Sinker SI
43% usage · 13% whiff · .358 xwOBA · 91.3 mph
Slider SL
31% usage · 29% whiff · .297 xwOBA · 82.4 mph
Sweeper ST
10% usage · 35% whiff · .300 xwOBA · 81.4 mph
Four-Seam Fastball FF
8% usage · 16% whiff · .350 xwOBA · 90.7 mph
Cutter FC
7% usage · 22% whiff · .420 xwOBA · 86.9 mph
Whiff% Trend
last 8 outings · by pitch · min 5 swings per point
010203040506070805/175/306/56/106/166/226/287/3
SinkerSliderSweeper
Hand Splits
K% + xwOBA allowed by batter side · 2026/2025/2024 blend, weighted 4/3/1
SplitK%xwOBASample
vs. LHB22.7 .349 1,047
vs. RHB19.4 .316 785
Live · client-hydrated

Market lines

current pick’em lines by book · updates through the day

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Live · client-hydrated

DFS picks

today’s picks for this pitcher, probability-sorted · graded nightly

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