Los Angeles Angels vs Cincinnati Reds
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Zach Neto SS
- 2 Mike Trout CF
- 3 Jo Adell RF
- 4 Jorge Soler DH
- 5 Vaughn Grissom 2B
- 6 Nolan Schanuel 1B
- 7 Logan O'Hoppe C
- 8 Oswald Peraza 3B
- 9 Bryce Teodosio LF
- 1 TJ Friedl CF
- 2 Matt McLain 2B
- 3 Elly De La Cruz SS
- 4 Sal Stewart 1B
- 5 Eugenio Suárez 3B
- 6 Nathaniel Lowe DH
- 7 Spencer Steer LF
- 8 Noelvi Marte RF
- 9 P.J. Higgins C
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAA | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 |
| CIN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C / B- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 2-1 with LAA listed first across 3 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost −0.01 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.66 vs actual lineup 4.67
- Player execution +4.33 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.67 projection by 4.33 (scored 9)
- Game variance +4.34 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Peraza HR from the 8-hole
- Manager lineup cost −0.04 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 2.38 vs actual lineup 2.41
- Player execution +3.59 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 2.41 projection by 3.59 (scored 6)
- Game variance +3.62 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Friedl 0-for-3 batting 1st
Optimal lineups projected 4.7 – 2.4 — actual was 9 – 6.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.