Colorado Rockies vs San Diego Padres
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Edouard Julien DH
- 2 Tyler Freeman RF
- 3 Mickey Moniak LF
- 4 Ezequiel Tovar SS
- 5 TJ Rumfield 1B
- 6 Willi Castro 2B
- 7 Brenton Doyle CF
- 8 Brett Sullivan C
- 9 Kyle Karros 3B
- 1 Ramón Laureano LF
- 2 Fernando Tatis Jr. RF
- 3 Jackson Merrill CF
- 4 Manny Machado 3B
- 5 Xander Bogaerts SS
- 6 Gavin Sheets 1B
- 7 Miguel Andujar DH
- 8 Luis Campusano C
- 9 Jake Cronenworth 2B
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| SD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C / B entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 1-6 with COL listed first across 7 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.07 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.75 vs actual lineup 4.68
- Player execution −2.68 R/G Players fell 2.68 short of the lineup's 4.68 projection (scored 2)
- Game variance −2.75 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Lineup spots out of order vs season production
- Manager lineup cost −0.02 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.41 vs actual lineup 3.43
- Player execution +1.57 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 3.43 projection by 1.57 (scored 5)
- Game variance +1.59 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Jr. 0-for-4 batting 2nd
Optimal lineups projected 4.8 – 3.4 — actual was 2 – 5.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.