Philadelphia Phillies vs San Francisco Giants
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Trea Turner SS
- 2 Kyle Schwarber DH
- 3 Bryce Harper 1B
- 4 Alec Bohm 3B
- 5 Bryson Stott 2B
- 6 Adolis García RF
- 7 Brandon Marsh LF
- 8 Rafael Marchán C
- 9 Justin Crawford CF
- 1 Willy Adames SS
- 2 Luis Arraez DH
- 3 Matt Chapman 3B
- 4 Rafael Devers 1B
- 5 Jung Hoo Lee RF
- 6 Jerar Encarnacion LF
- 7 Harrison Bader CF
- 8 Patrick Bailey C
- 9 Christian Koss 2B
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| SF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C- / B- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 3-1 with PHI listed first across 5 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.21 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.95 vs actual lineup 4.74
- Player execution −4.74 R/G Players fell 4.74 short of the lineup's 4.74 projection (scored 0)
- Game variance −4.95 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Turner 0-for-3 batting 1st
- Manager lineup cost +0.08 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.80 vs actual lineup 4.72
- Player execution +0.28 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.72 projection by 0.28 (scored 5)
- Game variance +0.20 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Lineup spots out of order vs season production
Optimal lineups projected 5.0 – 4.8 — actual was 0 – 5.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.