Arizona Diamondbacks vs New York Mets
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Ketel Marte DH
- 2 Corbin Carroll RF
- 3 Geraldo Perdomo SS
- 4 Gabriel Moreno C
- 5 Nolan Arenado 3B
- 6 Ildemaro Vargas 2B
- 7 Jose Fernandez 1B
- 8 Tim Tawa LF
- 9 Jorge Barrosa CF
- 1 Francisco Lindor SS
- 2 Bo Bichette 3B
- 3 Jorge Polanco DH
- 4 Luis Robert Jr. CF
- 5 Brett Baty RF
- 6 Mark Vientos 1B
- 7 Marcus Semien 2B
- 8 Carson Benge LF
- 9 Francisco Alvarez C
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AZ | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| NYM | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C- / D+ entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 2-0 with AZ listed first across 2 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.04 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.85 vs actual lineup 4.81
- Player execution +2.19 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.81 projection by 2.19 (scored 7)
- Game variance +2.15 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Moreno 0-for-4 batting 4th
- Manager lineup cost +0.15 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.91 vs actual lineup 4.76
- Player execution −2.76 R/G Players fell 2.76 short of the lineup's 4.76 projection (scored 2)
- Game variance −2.91 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Lindor 0-for-5 batting 1st
Optimal lineups projected 4.8 – 4.9 — actual was 7 – 2.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.