Kansas City Royals vs Cleveland Guardians
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Maikel Garcia 3B
- 2 Bobby Witt Jr. SS
- 3 Vinnie Pasquantino 1B
- 4 Salvador Perez DH
- 5 Carter Jensen C
- 6 Jonathan India 2B
- 7 Jac Caglianone RF
- 8 Isaac Collins LF
- 9 Kyle Isbel CF
- 1 Steven Kwan CF
- 2 Angel Martínez LF
- 3 José Ramírez 3B
- 4 David Fry DH
- 5 Rhys Hoskins 1B
- 6 Juan Brito 2B
- 7 CJ Kayfus RF
- 8 Austin Hedges C
- 9 Brayan Rocchio SS
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KC | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| CLE | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C / C+ entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 2-3 with KC listed first across 5 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost −0.03 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.40 vs actual lineup 3.43
- Player execution −2.43 R/G Players fell 2.43 short of the lineup's 3.43 projection (scored 1)
- Game variance −2.40 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Garcia 0-for-4 batting 1st
- Manager lineup cost −0.09 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.71 vs actual lineup 4.80
- Player execution −2.80 R/G Players fell 2.80 short of the lineup's 4.80 projection (scored 2)
- Game variance −2.71 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Ramírez 0-for-4 batting 3rd
Optimal lineups projected 3.4 – 4.7 — actual was 1 – 2.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.