Baltimore Orioles vs Chicago White Sox
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Taylor Ward LF
- 2 Gunnar Henderson DH
- 3 Pete Alonso 1B
- 4 Samuel Basallo C
- 5 Dylan Beavers RF
- 6 Jeremiah Jackson 2B
- 7 Colton Cowser CF
- 8 Coby Mayo 3B
- 9 Blaze Alexander SS
- 1 Chase Meidroth 2B
- 2 Lenyn Sosa 1B
- 3 Miguel Vargas DH
- 4 Colson Montgomery SS
- 5 Edgar Quero C
- 6 Tanner Murray 3B
- 7 Andrew Benintendi LF
- 8 Luisangel Acuña CF
- 9 Derek Hill RF
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| CWS | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C+ / D- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 1-0 with BAL listed first across 1 prior meeting.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.03 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.97 vs actual lineup 4.93
- Player execution −0.93 R/G Players fell 0.93 short of the lineup's 4.93 projection (scored 4)
- Game variance −0.97 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Alonso 0-for-4 batting 3rd
- Manager lineup cost +0.09 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.40 vs actual lineup 4.32
- Player execution −2.32 R/G Players fell 2.32 short of the lineup's 4.32 projection (scored 2)
- Game variance −2.40 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Vargas 0-for-4 batting 3rd
Optimal lineups projected 5.0 – 4.4 — actual was 4 – 2.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.