Cincinnati Reds vs Miami Marlins
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 TJ Friedl CF
- 2 Matt McLain 2B
- 3 Elly De La Cruz SS
- 4 Sal Stewart 1B
- 5 Eugenio Suárez DH
- 6 Spencer Steer LF
- 7 Will Benson RF
- 8 Tyler Stephenson C
- 9 Ke'Bryan Hayes 3B
- 1 Austin Slater RF
- 2 Agustín Ramírez C
- 3 Jakob Marsee CF
- 4 Otto Lopez SS
- 5 Heriberto Hernandez LF
- 6 Connor Norby 1B
- 7 Xavier Edwards DH
- 8 Leo Jimenez 2B
- 9 Javier Sanoja 3B
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CIN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| MIA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade B- / C+ entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 0-2 with CIN listed first across 2 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost −0.01 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.13 vs actual lineup 3.14
- Player execution −1.14 R/G Players fell 1.14 short of the lineup's 3.14 projection (scored 2)
- Game variance −1.13 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Stephenson HR from the 8-hole
- Manager lineup cost +0.01 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.86 vs actual lineup 4.85
- Player execution −4.85 R/G Players fell 4.85 short of the lineup's 4.85 projection (scored 0)
- Game variance −4.86 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Marsee 0-for-4 batting 3rd
Optimal lineups projected 3.1 – 4.9 — actual was 2 – 0.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.