Los Angeles Dodgers vs Washington Nationals
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Shohei Ohtani DH
- 2 Miguel Rojas SS
- 3 Teoscar Hernández LF
- 4 Freddie Freeman 1B
- 5 Andy Pages CF
- 6 Alex Call RF
- 7 Santiago Espinal 3B
- 8 Dalton Rushing C
- 9 Alex Freeland 2B
- 1 James Wood RF
- 2 Nasim Nuñez 2B
- 3 Luis García Jr. 1B
- 4 Daylen Lile LF
- 5 Joey Wiemer CF
- 6 CJ Abrams SS
- 7 Jorbit Vivas 3B
- 8 Keibert Ruiz C
- 9 José Tena DH
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAD | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 8 |
| WSH | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade B / C entering this matchup.
Recent form
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.15 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.35 vs actual lineup 3.20
- Player execution +4.80 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 3.20 projection by 4.80 (scored 8)
- Game variance +4.65 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Lineup spots out of order vs season production
- Manager lineup cost +0.02 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.86 vs actual lineup 4.83
- Player execution +1.17 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.83 projection by 1.17 (scored 6)
- Game variance +1.14 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Lile 0-for-4 batting 4th
Optimal lineups projected 3.4 – 4.9 — actual was 8 – 6.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.