Cincinnati Reds vs Texas Rangers
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Matt McLain 2B
- 2 Dane Myers CF
- 3 Elly De La Cruz SS
- 4 Sal Stewart 1B
- 5 Eugenio Suárez DH
- 6 Spencer Steer LF
- 7 Tyler Stephenson C
- 8 Noelvi Marte RF
- 9 Ke'Bryan Hayes 3B
- 1 Brandon Nimmo RF
- 2 Wyatt Langford LF
- 3 Corey Seager SS
- 4 Jake Burger 1B
- 5 Joc Pederson DH
- 6 Josh Smith 2B
- 7 Josh Jung 3B
- 8 Evan Carter CF
- 9 Danny Jansen C
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CIN | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 |
| TEX | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade B- / B- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost −0.06 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.00 vs actual lineup 4.07
- Player execution +0.93 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.07 projection by 0.93 (scored 5)
- Game variance +1.00 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Stephenson HR from the 7-hole
- Manager lineup cost +0.07 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.37 vs actual lineup 4.31
- Player execution −1.31 R/G Players fell 1.31 short of the lineup's 4.31 projection (scored 3)
- Game variance −1.37 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Seager 0-for-4 batting 3rd
Optimal lineups projected 4.0 – 4.4 — actual was 5 – 3.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.