Texas Rangers vs Baltimore Orioles
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Brandon Nimmo DH
- 2 Wyatt Langford CF
- 3 Corey Seager SS
- 4 Jake Burger 1B
- 5 Andrew McCutchen RF
- 6 Danny Jansen C
- 7 Josh Jung 3B
- 8 Ezequiel Duran 2B
- 9 Sam Haggerty LF
- 1 Taylor Ward DH
- 2 Gunnar Henderson SS
- 3 Pete Alonso 1B
- 4 Samuel Basallo C
- 5 Coby Mayo 3B
- 6 Dylan Beavers LF
- 7 Colton Cowser RF
- 8 Leody Taveras CF
- 9 Jeremiah Jackson 2B
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEX | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| BAL | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade B- / C+ entering this matchup.
Recent form
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost −0.01 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.35 vs actual lineup 4.36
- Player execution −1.36 R/G Players fell 1.36 short of the lineup's 4.36 projection (scored 3)
- Game variance −1.35 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Langford 0-for-4 batting 2nd
- Manager lineup cost +0.05 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.57 vs actual lineup 4.53
- Player execution +3.47 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.53 projection by 3.47 (scored 8)
- Game variance +3.43 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Henderson 0-for-4 batting 2nd
Optimal lineups projected 4.3 – 4.6 — actual was 3 – 8.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.