Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 James Wood LF
- 2 Curtis Mead 1B
- 3 Brady House 3B
- 4 Daylen Lile DH
- 5 Joey Wiemer RF
- 6 CJ Abrams SS
- 7 Nasim Nuñez 2B
- 8 Jacob Young CF
- 9 Drew Millas C
- 1 Trea Turner SS
- 2 Kyle Schwarber DH
- 3 Bryce Harper 1B
- 4 Alec Bohm 3B
- 5 Bryson Stott 2B
- 6 Adolis García RF
- 7 Brandon Marsh LF
- 8 J.T. Realmuto C
- 9 Justin Crawford CF
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSH | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| PHI | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C / C- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.02 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 2.78 vs actual lineup 2.76
- Player execution +2.24 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 2.76 projection by 2.24 (scored 5)
- Game variance +2.22 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Wood 0-for-5 batting 1st
- Manager lineup cost +0.20 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.93 vs actual lineup 3.74
- Player execution +2.26 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 3.74 projection by 2.26 (scored 6)
- Game variance +2.07 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Realmuto HR from the 8-hole
Optimal lineups projected 2.8 – 3.9 — actual was 5 – 6.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.