RunsLeftPitchersCristopher Sánchez
Starting Pitcher · Philadelphia Phillies

Cristopher Sánchez

LHP · Throws Left · Age 29Starter
Model projection · strikeout prop
44.9%
44.9% against a 57.7% break-even. Over 6.5 Ks, tonight vs. STL. Confidence low.
ERA
2.51
FIP
IP
161.2
W-L
16-4
WHIP
1.22
K%
27.8
BB%
5.6
GB%
K/9
10.4
HR/9
0.7
He was acquired by the Philadelphia Phillies via trade from the Tampa Bay Rays in November 2019. He made his MLB debut on June 6, 2021.Facts: MLB StatsAPI (people · transactions)

Tonight's Matchup

vs. Cardinals · pregame

Projected xwOBA vs. Cardinals current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) — season profile, not tonight's posted lineup · lineup avg .314

  1. 1 AB Alec Burleson LHB .347
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Burleson
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (37% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JW Jordan Walker RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jordan Walker
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (37% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 IH Iván Herrera RHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Iván Herrera
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (37% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 JW JJ Wetherholt LHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Wetherholt
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (37% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MW Masyn Winn RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masyn Winn
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (37% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 NC Nathan Church LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Church
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (37% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JF José Fermín RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Fermín
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (37% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BJ Blaze Jordan RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Blaze Jordan
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (37% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 PP Pedro Pagés RHB .282
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pedro Pagés
    • Sinker (45% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (37% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.

Sinker

SI · lead pitch

45% of pitches · .354 xwOBA allowed · 1000 BIP · where it goes, what it costs

Pitcher Locations
where he throws it · catcher’s view
0%0%1%1%1%1%3%4%4%4%7%14%17%13%7%3%4%4%2%1%3%3%3%1%1%
Rare 0% · Common 10% · Very common 20%+
xwOBA Allowed
damage done by zone · all batters
.356.141.703.153.204.449.322.357.268.305.390.356.276.691.269.358.337.481.695.563.334.549
Cold .200 · Avg .310 · Hot .500+
Expected Damage
locations × damage zones
.002.001.006.002.005.019.013.013.019.041.067.046.020.019.010.013.007.004.021.019.010.008
Low risk · Average · High-risk zone
Sinker (45% usage) has allowed .354 xwOBA over 1000 balls in play — his most-used pitch.

Arsenal

usage × whiff, ranked

3 pitch types · 8,159-pitch sample · 2026/2025/2024 blend, weighted 4/3/1

Sinker SI
45% usage · 11% whiff · .354 xwOBA · 95.1 mph
Changeup CH
37% usage · 42% whiff · .197 xwOBA · 87.0 mph
Slider SL
18% usage · 37% whiff · .276 xwOBA · 86.2 mph
Whiff% Trend
last 8 outings · by pitch · min 5 swings per point
010203040506070807/67/117/147/208/18/68/118/17
SinkerChangeupSlider
Hand Splits
K% + xwOBA allowed by batter side · 2026/2025/2024 blend, weighted 4/3/1
SplitK%xwOBASample
vs. LHB31.6 .205 472
vs. RHB24.7 .301 1,722
Live · client-hydrated

Market lines

current pick’em lines by book · updates through the day

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DFS picks

today’s picks for this pitcher, probability-sorted · graded nightly

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